Official Gate River 15K- March 20th - "I'm a Excitable Runner Predication Contest"

Adding 11 now, last 11 later.

Nell Rojas

Paige Stoner

Katy Jermann

Allie Ostrander

Allie Kieffer

Alia Gray

Emily Durgin

Roberta Groner

Marielle Hall

Katrina Coogan

Allie Buchalski

The issue is that there have been and will be many cancellations from the elites who at one point in time within the last year expressed interest.

Some just ran fast 5k/10ks in the last few weeks and are now on breaks and have notified the race they aren't coming. What at one point in time was a hypothetical good idea is no longer ideal due to all of the normal reasons like injury, fitness, future olympic trials goals and even covid related things

Thatt list just isn't public. Probably won't know until looking at the start line who actually showed up.

Either way, there are enough good names for both genders that the fields will be strong, but just not as strong as "every name on the original list"

USATF has their official entry lists up now. Rupp is not on that list. Neither is Hasay.

https://www.usatf.org/events/2021/2021-usatf-15-km-championships/status-of-entries

Women:

Emma Bates

Jennifer Bergman

Liz Camy-Blackwell

Ann Centner

Kayley DeLay

Lindsay Flanagan

Roberta Groner

Sara Hall

Crystal Harriss

Katy Jermann

Erika Kemp

Allie Kieffer

Sally Kipyego

Maegan Krifchin

Dakotah Lindwurm

Tansey Lystad

Cristina McKnight

Margareta Montoya

Makena Morley

Grayson Murphy

Diane Neubauer

Angie Nickerson

Diane Nukuri

Samantha Palmer

Rachel Schneider

Molly Seidel

Maggie Shearer

Breanna Sieracki

Jaci Smith

Joanna Stephens

Paige Stoner

Laura Thweatt

Annmarie Tuxbury

Tristin Van Ord

Carrie Verdon

Alexis Zeis

Addi Zerrenner

Men

David Angell

Colin Bennie

Hillary Bor

Ian Carter

Sam Chelanga

Kevin Colon

Nick French

Wilkerson Given Jr.

Jonas Hampton

Nicholas Hauger Sr.

Martin Hehir

Shadrack Kipchirchir

Brandon Lamb

Frank Lara

Kevin Lewis

Matthew Llano

Steven Martinez

Dylan Marx

Matthew McClintock

Hassan Mead

Alex Monroe

Sean O'Connor

Jack Polerecky

John Raneri

Joel Reichow

Ryan Root

Abbabiya Simbassa

Jacob Thomson

Benjamin True

Sid Vaughn Jr.

Andrew Wacker

Turner Wiley

Not as deep as the initial field , Woman's race is more deep than the men and will definitely be interesting to follow. I don't expect people are peeking for this race, but it will be a good check in before the Olympic trials 10k.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Can we get five sub 50 for the first time ever? And who will be that five?

S.Hall, Hasay, D’Amato, Schneider, and Sisson?

Only Sara and Schneider left of those now.

Top 25? Bro lol. The field is stacked. I wish the elite men and women started together so I could race head to head with Jordan. She has been running terrible ever since Salazar got busted.

Nice how you added Dylan Marx but not Steven Martinez. Look out for the SDTC boys they’re going to kick ass!

Disappointed that Meghan Peyton is one of the drop-outs, I was putting her in my new top 5.

Finally got my last 11 of 37:

Too late as some have scratched.

Erica Kemp

Julia Kohnen

Maegan Krifchin

Dakotah Lindwurm

Cristina McKnight

Maggie Montoya

Makena Morley

Sarah Pagano

Samantha Palmer [Bluske]

Jaci Smith

and Carrie Verdon

and 38 would have been the already mentioned Meghan Peyton.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Can we get five sub 50 for the first time ever? And who will be that five?

S.Hall, Hasay, D’Amato, Schneider, and Sisson?

Only Sara and Schneider left of those now.

Add in Paige Stoner, Erica Kemp, and Sally Kipyego to make a top 5.

Who are the best five men over 15k from these?

Bor Chelanga Kipchirchir Simbassa True

Team Reed all the way. Super fit and ready to bust out after that humid debacle in Austin.

Russell Stedman wrote:

Bor

Chelanga

Kipchirchir

Simbassa

True

Aussiestatman wrote:

Who are the best five men over 15k from these?

I can see what you did there, Russell

Any predictions on who are most likely to contract Corona? I know that at least 5 on that list have already had it since Flagstaff was a breading ground a couple months back. I hope it is not any of the top 5 in either race as that would severely screw up their summer racing plans. Oh well, good luck to all and enjoy Florida.

Getting closer. Numbers are increasing. Here comes the perfect storm.

Plenty of dropouts from the original list. No True, Seidel, Hall. Would of like to seen Rupp race in Florida during spring break.

Weather okay, but not great.

At 8:00 am Cloudy 53F 10% channce of rain, Dew Point 44F, Humidity74F, Wind- 16mph NNE

Doubtful course records will be challenged.

My picks =

Emily Sisson 48:15

Sally Kipyego 48:35

Emma Bates 49:10

Shadrack Kipchichir 44:30

Kirubel Erassa 44:35

Frank Lara 44: 40

Bonus pick - Cicirunner's place will be 47th, time = 51:30

Winner of contest will receive a signed picture of Florida Govenor Ron DeSantis not wearing a mask while playing golf with the best president of the past 100 years Donald Trump.

Get your predictions in before midnight and receive a complimentary link to a picture of time when Joe Biden could stand on his own two feet.

7 scratches with positive Covid tests.

Damn this is fun.