Trump losing on every possible polls ?

Democrats are convinced they will win All of the house and senate races and Trump will get Zero votes.

Hahahahahaha!!!!!

They are going to be in for an epic meltdown!!!!

Will they blame the Russians or racism for Trump’s re-election victory??

hm. wrote:

Ranked choice voting

Ranked choice voting

Ranked choice voting

I think this was a joke? If so well done.

Actually ranked choice voting would be necessary. With 3 candidates you could theoretically win on 34% which would if happened be equally undemocratic.

Neither Clinton or Trump won 50% of the popular vote in 2016 because of the small number of third parties.

If you look at the history of presidential polling you can see how bad a position Trump is in right now. Trump supporters will tell you how wrong the 2016 polls were when in reality the polls were 100% accurate when accounting for standard polling error.

No incumbent has been this far back and won reelection. If Trump were younger and less prone to verbal gaffes himself then maybe he would have a better chance. Read the transcripts from any of his rallies....he throws out gibberish that's no better than Biden. Both are near senile.

Alan

Runningart2004 wrote:

If you look at the history of presidential polling you can see how bad a position Trump is in right now. Trump supporters will tell you how wrong the 2016 polls were when in reality the polls were 100% accurate when accounting for standard polling error.

No incumbent has been this far back and won reelection. If Trump were younger and less prone to verbal gaffes himself then maybe he would have a better chance. Read the transcripts from any of his rallies....he throws out gibberish that's no better than Biden. Both are near senile.

Alan

You said you were not coming back to lrc.

Welcome back.

donairs wrote:

Russian agent or useful idiot. He has been showered with Russian gold.

+1

Are you going to blame the Russians or systemic racism when Trump wins again?

Runningart2004 wrote:

Trump (...) throws out gibberish that's no better than Biden.

Biden is quite unlikeable, but saying he ever has spoken any words as gibberish as any that Trump offloads every second is ludicrous.

Please clean up your spelling and grammar before sh*tting on an entire political party and their candidate in the upcoming election. You are incapable of even spelling *losing*. Please, for the love of God, get a proper education before voting.

historian is a dumb dumb wrote:

If you take California out of the total, Donald Trump won the popular vote by 1.4 million.

If you take Texas out of the total, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.1 million. Maybe we should just count everyone's votes? Crazy, I know.

kibitzer wrote:

I can not anymore wrote:

I used to be a Democrat, but after the far left movement they have made, I will no longer vote for any Democrat candidate. I will hold my nose and vote for Trump again.

"Again." So you voted for him four years ago, too.

When exactly was it that you "used to be a Democrat"? Back in the day, when the Dems included the overt (Southern) racists? I've got news: Those are Republicans now, like you.

Excuse me, but It is overwhelmingly the Democrat party that champions race- and sex-based "Affirmative Action" policies that discriminate on the basis of race and sex regarding hiring, contracting and admissions policies. Strangely, women in the USA are outperforming men by some measures (more academic degrees, fewer incarcerated, greater life-expectancy), so why are they given an advantage? I think these policies have hurt black Americans especially as they shift the focus from the true pathologies (poor mores, broken or never-formed families, unemployment, bad primary and secondary schools, government disincentives to conceive in-wedlock, to work or to pay for food, etc.) and merely try to bandage the symptoms by offering lowered admission, hiring or contract-selection standards.

Y'all need to wait for the debates. Trump is going to DEVASTATE Biden. No contest.

Gallup doesn't have a daily tracker anymore.

The 2016 election was already people voting for or against Trump. That dynamic favors the "for" crowd in terms of turnout. "Against" vote often splits or boycotts.

The Senate isn't going to flip. Democrats have only 3 or 4 slight chances to flip a seat, while GOP will win back Alabama.

Incumbent presidents never lose when the economy is good. The Democrats have been deliberately trying to destroy the economy this year, as I predicted.

breit leit wrote:

historian is a dumb dumb wrote:

If you take California out of the total, Donald Trump won the popular vote by 1.4 million.

If you take Texas out of the total, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.1 million. Maybe we should just count everyone's votes? Crazy, I know.

Sure, in the Dem world, “everybody’s votes” is made up of illegals, dead people, duplicate votes from same person in different polling areas, etc.

Our country won't withstand another 4 years of this Sh*t show. History will be very Harsh on Trump and his Cult followers !!!

The economy is in the toilet.

Also 2,600.

trump is going to get destroyed. If you didn't know he was a totally unqualified idiot in 2016 and still don't know by now, then you are a total imbecile.

This is a specious argument. While the EC's motives were reasonable at it's conception. It's current status massively distorts voter power. Right now 6 states consume 2/3rds of presidential campaign visits. If you aren't in FL, PA, OH, NC, VA, or MI, then the candidates even admit your vote doesn't matter. Your state is almost certainly going to send it's EC votes one way or the other. Why is concentrating voter power in those 6 states "better" than a presidential popular vote, at least with a popular vote, every vote counts the same. Scroll down to the "voter power index" from 2016 election. The data are from election day and 538 was the best of the major pollsters with 30% change of Trump victory. You can see that for > 50% of the states there is a ~0% chance your vote matters. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

THE SILENT MAJORITY IS BIGGER THAN YOU THINK

The candidate with the most halloween mask sales typically wins:

https://www.thrillist.com/news/nation/halloween-mask-sales-predict-the-presidential-election

The candidate with the most campaign items sold: banners, hats, coffee mugs, t-shirts, stickers , etc always wins.

https://www.bizjournals.com/louisville/news/2016/09/02/trump-or-clintonwhy-cafepress-sales-might-be-the.html

The Primary Model- developed by Helmut Norpoth is batting 5 for 6 since 1996.

http://primarymodel.com/2020