Garmin watch 'Race Predictor'?!?

cool story, bro wrote:

My mistake, I plugged your predicted 10k into the calculators rather than the actual race result.

No worries at all. I had just did Daniels' 5/10k plan for the past 10 weeks to a tee before the 10k and 5k all out efforts and was wearing a chest HR strap for every session so all the data that I could provide the watch was as accurate as I could make it. I thought the 245M would've picked up the quality sessions and made race predictor more accurate but I guess not.

Could you link to the Age Tables you reference? I'm curious and would like to take a look. For the record I'm a 33yo male.

A couple of days ago, the first time I set it to record an indoor "Cardio" workout, I experienced the wrist HR measurement to go bonkers, indicating an obviously too high heart rate. I powered the watch on/off, and reset it on my wrist, and concluded something wonky must be going on with the "Cardio" algorithm, strange relative to the fairly accurate wrist-based HR measurements I had previously observed up to that time.

doogiski wrote:

Could you link to the Age Tables you reference? I'm curious and would like to take a look. For the record I'm a 33yo male.

Bump

cool story, bro' wrote:

Backstory: 59 yr-old male. It’s been several years since I’ve run consistently, let alone ‘competitively’. After getting to the point of becoming very de-conditioned this past year, I started consistently training again over the past couple of months, battling various foot, ankle and ‘hip’ injuries [i.e., maybe under the umbrella of Greater Trochanteric Pain Syndrome (GTPS); several months ago, a doctor said I had osteoarthritis in my right hip.]

If you have osteoarthritis of the right hip I would suggest you call it quits and use your Garmin race predictions as your pbs.

I was diagnosed with osteoarthritis of the right hip recently and I'm done. . My best Parkrun was 21 minutes but my Garmin was predicting 18 minutes last spring. So 18 minutes is going to be my true lifetime PB, especially considering I wasn't able to race because of lockdowns.

statistician wrote:

Where do you even access the Garmin race predictor?

I have a Garmin and have never seen this.

On my 645, from the front screen on the watch hit the down button to get to your fitness status screen, click into that and scroll through that screens on that, race predictor is somewhere in there.

I have a Garmin Fenix 5S I got for $150 (it was originally $500 but the lady who sold it to me was trying to get rid of it).

It says I have a VO2 Max of 52.

LOL I'm slow!

Predictions on the watch:

5k 19:35

10k 40:37

13.1 1:29:54

26.2 3:07:24

I'd kill to run those times but right now, in this heat, I'd probably run:

5k 20:45-ish to 21:15-ish

10k 43-ish

13.1 1:38-ish

26.2 3:18-3:20-ish

But come fall...we'll see lol

Hi Coevett, the OP here, sorry about your diagnosis. What I did, that kept me running, was to go to the pool and do something I call a ‘hip rounder’ (a hip mobility rotation) . I would do several of those before and after every swim.

Mine pretty accurate, predicts a 17:54 i ran an 18:17. 60 vo2 max

The only race predictor that works for me is the Jack Daniel's Vdot equivalent but probably because I'm "higher" mileage at 70-80.

Garmin and Coros however for instance I would run a 1:16-1:18 half in the middle of a 30k workout but the predictors would regularly say 1:22. The marathon is out by 20min+. The 5k is also off by a min or so.