coach wrote:
Was Ginn fast enough to be state champ in the 100 meter dash?
That would depend on the year. Based on Ginns skill set as more of a 2/4 guy, and having a PR in the 21.1 range over 200, you gotta figure he would have been capable of at LEAST getting into the 10.6s as a HSer, plus or minus .10 seconds. So, the question of if he could have won a state title in the 100 depends on what year your talking, and if he's on the high end or low end of my plus/minus. Sometimes you can win DI in 10.6x in Ohio. Sometimes you can win in 10.8x. Sometimes you need 10.5x. And, of course, weather plays a huge role in what the state winning time is even really indicative of.
Brandon Saine ran a 10.50 to win one year, but he ran 10.38 previously for the overall state record. I ran one year where nobody in the final -except the winner- broke 11, but we ran into a -4 wind on a cold day. That guy who broke 11 ran a 10.79 for the win into that headwind, but with a +1 that day he might have run a 10.4x. So its hard to judge. But if you can get into the mid-to-low 10.7s, you give yourself a state title chance, and if you get into the low 10.6 and down to 10.5s, you start making it a lock regardless of what year it is.
On one hand, yes he could have won a 100m title in theory as you'd think he could touch around 10.8 or under while in HS, but he never even RAN the 100, really. I've seen NO FAT result for him. Which really says something. Such a situation typically means his start must have been god awful. Other guys with bad starts and late coming-out parties over 100 meters are people like Boling and -of course- Bolt. But where Boling goes low 46 in the 400 and sub 21 over 200 (and of course was running sub 20s before he even approached the 100), Ginn tops out at mid to high 46 in the 400 and low 21s in the 200 as junior/senior in HS. So, despite the shiny 110 time, you gotta figure his start must have made the 100 a really bad fit for him, and why they never bothered to throw him in it.
Ginns senior year, the winning 100 time was 10.81. He had teammates who actually took 3rd and 5th, respectively, at 10.87 and 10.88. So, its interesting, was able to beat those teammates over 100 in practice, or not? Because that might give you the answer.
Here's another interesting example. During Ginns junior year he ran 21.16 in the 200 state final and LOST to a kid who ran 21.12. That kid who ran 21.12 and beat Ginn LOST the 100m final by a wide margin (10.82 to 10.66) to a kid who was an INCREDIBLE starter but couldn't run a 200 worth a lick (at least on comparison to his 100).
So a bad start and acceleration phase in the 100 can doom you, even if you've got the talent of a Ginn.
I'm gonna go out on a limb and say no, he wouldn't have won a state title in the 100. And that says a lot about 40 times, too; particularly in a track and field sense.