Kipkoech will make 2800-3000m. In his 2 mile PR, he was 5 flat at 2k and 6:03 for 6 laps with no drafting as Jakob was well ahead and he was leading out the rest of the pack. He still split 7:38 fading from the hot start with 218m more to run. Slower start and he makes it 2800 atleast even with the last two laps/1k cutting down to 60.7. It's a lot tighter than you would hope but I think it's in his wheelhouse to get close. I also don't think pacing distance is as big an issue once he's in the ballpark of 2800-3000 when you are launching 2 guys and most probably Aregawi off the front. Kiplimo may have 4900m of pacing.
Yes, it definitely would help the farther he can go but this is a very rare set of circumstances. The temps are a lot more worrying
If he goes 2500+ he’s done a great job. If he goes 3,000 full marks and I’d say sub-12:40 is going to happen unless he’s had to slow a lot.
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2nd pacer is set to go through 3000m in 7:32.2, a pace of 2:30.7 per km, so pace for 12:33.5.
Honestly the lights might be most important. 7:32.2 indicates they are going for it, and the athletes are committed (at least at this juncture). We know Aregawi/Kiplimo have no problems with taking off early. So, let's hope there's no staring at each other and they just push it.
Might just be so the pacers don't cook themselves off the start.
I think you're right. A lot of times in the past you'd see pacers go out in something crazy like 27-28 in a 5K. Akbache is a pretty steady hand and I've seen him direct traffic nicely too.
EDIT: I feel like I come off like Akbache's agents in these posts, but a good pacemaker who sets up the second pacer really is invaluable.
This post was edited 1 minute after it was posted.
Live on Peacock/NBC at 1pm Eastern US time. There is usually a free YouTube livestream in Ireland(?) if you have a VPN. Additionally, CNBC usually broadcasts it for free on their website 24 hours later.