Could Ruth Chepngetich become the GOAT of long distance running?

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5 years ago 03/17/2019 5:53pm EDT

Her times clearly speak for themselves, but it isn't just how fast she is running, but the number of times she is running. She had her breakthrough at Istanbul in November, going sub-2:19. Just two months later she runs the third fastest all-time marathon, running 2:17:07. I had just found that only one week later, she raced a regional cross country championship in which she won, beating amazing runners like Emily Chebet and Lucy Wangui. Last Friday she came in second at the Bahrain half marathon, running 66:09 on a poorly paced and messy course, only losing to Brigid Kosgei who hasn't raced since Chicago. And I have no idea how many races she has done in between that time as I only found the XC one on youtube. If she decides to seriously take time off to prepare for a marathon, say 2020 London, what times do you think she could run? Could she break the world record in perfect conditions? Honestly hoping she decides to race another marathon and hops in last minute at London.

Here is the meet she won one week after Dubai:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-nrvhaxm6rk

5 years ago 03/17/2019 6:32pm EDT

re: Chepngetich

Absolutely she could become one of the greatest women's marathoners of all time (with respect to time she already is), probably with some chance at the record. But I'd say Brigid is going to beat her to it. I'm not sure in what kind of form Ruth was in Bahrain and it's true she relatively recently ran that stellar performance in Chicago. But Kosgei has been on absolute fire, besting the likes of Hellen Obiri over 10k and now more or less demolishing a 2:17 woman in the last 5k of a half. If I were Paula I'd be worried about both of these ladies but it looks like Brigid is setting up for something big in London.

5 years ago 03/17/2019 6:58pm EDT

re: but Brigid

Listen, Paula's marathon record has held for so long now it's not even funny. Until this lady even scratches the surface of closing in on that time, you are wasting everyone's time with such a ridiculous proposition.

It's like asking if some high schooler who won a 50k ultra if he is going to be the GOAT over Killian. It's just dumb at this point.

5 years ago 03/17/2019 8:48pm EDT

re: Chepngetich

That is exactly my thought! Chepngetich is a beast of some sort! However for her to dominate, the race must start out at a very fast pace. If the pace is slower, she will fall victim to fast gear changers like Bridgit. But that only for distances shorter or equal to half marathon. For the marathon, she will crush all except maybe Mary Keitany. I really do hope she gets added to London Marathon. That would make 2019 race the race of a century and we could witness Paula's record broken or at least a sub 2:16.

5 years ago 03/17/2019 11:13pm EDT

re: AP5000

AP5000 wrote:
Paula's marathon record has held for so long now it's not even funny.

It's about time to remove that bogus record.

5 years ago 03/18/2019 12:16am EDT

re: Chepngetich

Chepngetich wrote:
Her times clearly speak for themselves, but it isn't just how fast she is running, but the number of times she is running. She had her breakthrough at Istanbul in November, going sub-2:19. Just two months later she runs the third fastest all-time marathon, running 2:17:07. I had just found that only one week later, she raced a regional cross country championship in which she won, beating amazing runners like Emily Chebet and Lucy Wangui. Last Friday she came in second at the Bahrain half marathon, running 66:09 on a poorly paced and messy course, only losing to Brigid Kosgei who hasn't raced since Chicago. And I have no idea how many races she has done in between that time as I only found the XC one on youtube. If she decides to seriously take time off to prepare for a marathon, say 2020 London, what times do you think she could run? Could she break the world record in perfect conditions? Honestly hoping she decides to race another marathon and hops in last minute at London.
Here is the meet she won one week after Dubai:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-nrvhaxm6rk

This is why 5k, 10k are toast on TV .... Who would buy commercial time based on this .

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