Mo Farah vs Eliud Kipchoge in Tokio 2020 Marathon. The final clash of titans. Who wins?

Tokyo.

Ben L Wrong wrote:

Probably Mo is going to compete in both 10000m and the marathon (as Galen did).

And Mo knows that if Galen was 3rd and 5th in each event, he could medal in both, because, it seems like there's no real competition for him in 10000m)

Both athletes are going to be there in 2020 (Mo with 37 years old and probably with a lack of speed for 3000/5000m, and Eliud with 35, 100% focused in the marathon), not only "competing", but also as medal contenders.

Who wins between Mo and Eliud in a 2:09/2:10 tactical marathon? Eliud's stamina or Mo's final speed?

I don't see Eliud letting it come down to a kick. He would probably break Mo at mile 20 and never look back.

Eliud's stamina.

Kipchoge will win. Mo will never beat him at the marathon-

this coming from a guy who actually does not hate Mo like most here.

Sorry for the mistake.

Another facts about Tokyo in August

AVERAGES FOR TOKYO IN AUGUST

Temperature

26°C 79°F

Low Temperature

23°C 73°F

High Temperature

29°C 84°F

Sunshine Hours

6 hrs

Chance of Sunny Day

83 %

Rainfall

147mm

Rainfall days

17 days

Chance of Rain

17 %

Sea Temperature

26°C 79°F

Chance of Windy Day

50 %

At that point Kamworor will beat them both in the marathon.

It all comes down to Mo's next marathon, if he goes sub 2:05 it is game on, otherwise forget it.

I don't think Mo needs 2:05 PB for Tokyo 2020. Galen was far from that (2:11.12), and was with Eliud until 35k.

Moreover: Jared Ward was 6th, with only 2:13 PB coming to Rio.

Eritrean Geb was 4th with 2:07.46 PB (equal to Ritz PB), and Alphonse Simbu was 5th, with only 2:09.19 PB coming to Rio.

The key is the HM pace. Mo Farah needs a 1:05 first half, as we saw in Rio. And another key is mentality. Galen always have faith in his training with Alberto. He doesn't fear Africans. Same with Mo.

Joshua Cheptigi(Ik the last name is a bit off) will win the 10k and be right up there in the 5k in Tokyo, he was 19 this year and wasn't far off a medal in either event he's the future.

Marathon is Tokyo should be interesting though, if Kipchoge is still running and runs the race I wouldn't pick against him he's incredible, Galen should be a threat though, especially if he and Mo quit training together because I think he defers to Mo sometimes, also maybe Bekele we'll see how he continues to progress, Kamworo, and I'm sure there'll be a few other guys, but Kipchoge would still win if it's possible to pick four years out he's to strong for anyone else, and over the course of 26.2 miles nobody will wear him down but he'll wear them all down.

..and Eliud will be how old in 2020 ..what 44 or something ..?

Bollocks.

Eliud Kipchoge will be enjoying his retirement with caipirinhas on the beach and so will Mo.

Ben L Wrong wrote:

I don't think Mo needs 2:05 PB for Tokyo 2020. Galen was far from that (2:11.12), and was with Eliud until 35k.

Moreover: Jared Ward was 6th, with only 2:13 PB coming to Rio.

Eritrean Geb was 4th with 2:07.46 PB (equal to Ritz PB), and Alphonse Simbu was 5th, with only 2:09.19 PB coming to Rio.

The key is the HM pace. Mo Farah needs a 1:05 first half, as we saw in Rio. And another key is mentality. Galen always have faith in his training with Alberto. He doesn't fear Africans. Same with Mo.

Rupp's PB is a big question mark to be honest. Both his races have been in unfortunate conditions, both were championship races, and both were tactical.

Eliud and Mo will both be quite old in Tokyo. The Eritrean who was 4th in the marathon in Rio and the world champ last year will, on the other hand, only be 24.

Ben L Wrong wrote:

Who wins between Mo and Eliud in a 2:09/2:10 tactical marathon? Eliud's stamina or Mo's final speed?

Galen Rupp

He is one of the efficient runners ever tested. More efficient than Mo.

Galen Rupp.

It's 2016 and the Olympics are done, and you are asking about two older athletes in 4 years? Lame thread Susan.

Ben L Wrong wrote:

I don't think Mo needs 2:05 PB for Tokyo 2020. Galen was far from that (2:11.12), and was with Eliud until 35k.

Moreover: Jared Ward was 6th, with only 2:13 PB coming to Rio.

Eritrean Geb was 4th with 2:07.46 PB (equal to Ritz PB), and Alphonse Simbu was 5th, with only 2:09.19 PB coming to Rio.

The key is the HM pace. Mo Farah needs a 1:05 first half, as we saw in Rio. And another key is mentality. Galen always have faith in his training with Alberto. He doesn't fear Africans. Same with Mo.

You guys are overlooking a very important aspect.

It rained. I twas slippery.

It was a championship race.

Without that, Kipchoge could have gone out in 2:04-2:05 pace had he wanted.

He just didn't see the need and moreso, may be the conditions were not conducive.

Rupp hang with Kipchoge and then got dropped. He was barely hanging on.

That was only from km 35.

Kipchoge can take it out like the devil and not many people would hang with him except Bekele and a few others.

kipchoge would nail Mo Farah.

He better be knighted before Tokyo 2020 otherwise Kipchoge will beat him badly.

Another bold prediction from NativeSon.

NativeSon wrote:

You guys are overlooking a very important aspect.

It rained. I twas slippery.

It was a championship race.

Without that, Kipchoge could have gone out in 2:04-2:05 pace had he wanted.

He just didn't see the need and moreso, may be the conditions were not conducive.

.

Usually, conditions aren't good in Olympics. WR is almost 4 minutes slower than WR.

And besides that, Kenyans fear Mo Farah. If not, why they always talk big about "fast paces" (and 12.4x/26.4x shape) in 5000/10000m, and then, it's always the same 13.03/27.05 pace?