If the CO2 theory of global warming turns out not to be accurate--how would one disprove this theory?
What would falsify the scientific argument for anthropogenic global warming (AGW)?
If the CO2 theory of global warming turns out not to be accurate--how would one disprove this theory?
What would falsify the scientific argument for anthropogenic global warming (AGW)?
Here's a reasonable list of falsifiability criteria: https://ourchangingclimate.wordpress.com/2014/02/17/is-climate-science-falsifiable/
The scientific method consist of proving a conjecture, not disprove it.
elementary basic knowledge wrote:
The scientific method consist of proving a conjecture, not disprove it.
1) develop a thesis
2) gather the data
3) if the data does not support the thesis, discard the thesis
But
If the thesis is global warmomg
4) discard the data
There's also this new disease called AIDS.Wait, it's 2015....it's not called "global warming" anymore. It's called Climate Change. There is a difference.
Earth has fever Rx cowbell wrote:
If the CO2 theory of global warming turns out not to be accurate--how would one disprove this theory?
What would falsify the scientific argument for anthropogenic global warming (AGW)?
The OP asked a question.
The very next poster, Citizen Runner, answered it.
For those who can't/won't follow the link, here (from the article) are ten ways that the theory of climate change could be falsified (the article discusses each at length):
1. A drop in global temperatures for some period of time to the level of 50 years ago or longer, without a clear cause
2. A drop in global sea level for some period of time
3. A strong rise or decline in the atmospheric CO2 level
4. The discovery that climate forcings in the past were much larger, or temperature changes much smaller, than science thinks
5. Warming of the stratosphere
6. Major errors in equipment in satellites, measuring outgoing longwave radiation
7. Evidence of a substantial fall of relative humidity with rising temperature
8. A source of heat in the climate system that we do not know yet
9. A fundamental flaw in the scientific understanding of radiation physics or thermodynamics
10. CO2 molecules appear to behave differently in the wild, than they do in a laboratory
In other words: yes, current climate theory is falsifiable.
[quote]What year is it? wrote:
Wait, it's 2015....it's not called "global warming" anymore. It's called Climate Change. There is a difference.
[quote]][/quote
I remember way back when we used to just call it "weather" or "Mother Nature"
lol - weather =/= climate
bfrh wrote:
. . . here (from the article) are ten ways that the theory of climate change could be falsified (the article discusses each at length):
. . .
6. Major errors in equipment in satellites, measuring outgoing longwave radiation
. . .
9. A fundamental flaw in the scientific understanding of radiation physics or thermodynamics
10. CO2 molecules appear to behave differently in the wild, than they do in a laboratory
In other words: yes, current climate theory is falsifiable.
On this topic, a study was just published observing an increasing trend in back radiation at the infrared frequencies from increasing atmospheric CO2 as expected by theory. This is essentially direct experimental evidence that #10 isn't the case and is consistent with prior studies relying on satellite measurements ala #6.
Press release here:
http://newscenter.lbl.gov/2015/02/25/co2-greenhouse-effect-increase/Study here:
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nature14240.htmlI’m a D2 female runner. Our coach explicitly told us not to visit LetsRun forums.
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