What are some of the best Marathon prediction workouts?
I think im in about 2:23/24 shape but want some prediction workouts to find out, any ideas?
What are some of the best Marathon prediction workouts?
I think im in about 2:23/24 shape but want some prediction workouts to find out, any ideas?
There is no such thing.
The closest predictor is to run a half marathon 4 weeks out on similar terrain, then double your time and add 10 minutes.
Predicter wrote:
There is no such thing.
The closest predictor is to run a half marathon 4 weeks out on similar terrain, then double your time and add 10 minutes.
you won't be adding 10 minutes unless you are a low mileage runner. Try 5-7. The closer in distance your predictor race is to the marathon, the better idea you'll have. Ie a 30k is a better predictor than a half.
Run on your own 2/3 race distance (17 miles). This should be your race pace. I got this idea from several sources including Hanson's who recommend slightly shorter race-specific TT. Just another idea, but I've done it even for short races (10-12k) and find I can hold the pace for race distance with taper and race situation.
gads wrote:
What are some of the best Marathon prediction workouts?
I think im in about 2:23/24 shape but want some prediction workouts to find out, any ideas?
The best predictor is 1 x 26.2 miles at race pace.
In all seriousness, just believe in your training. Once you have some experience, you should have a consistent program and able to compare workouts and training to your previous marathon build ups.
Lets say for example, this build up you did 10 mile tempo at 525-530 pace, whereas last build up you ran 10 mile tempo at 545-550 pace and ran 2:32 in the actual marathon. Now you'd know you're in a lot better shape. How much better? you can guess, but just run a smart race and find out on race day.
The best predictor is Yasso 800s.
You run like 10 800 meter repeats. Rest between however long you want. Whatever time you average in minutes:seconds, just switch it to hours:minutes and BOOM! there's your marathon time, guaranteed.
So, quick example - you average 3 minutes for the 800 meter repeats, the Yassos as I call them, and you WILL run a 3 hour marathon.
I actually agree that Yasso 800s is the best predictor.
Accept ur nto supposed to rest over 1 minute i believe.
[/quote]you won't be adding 10 minutes unless you are a low mileage runner. Try 5-7. The closer in distance your predictor race is to the marathon, the better idea you'll have. Ie a 30k is a better predictor than a half.[/quote]
10 minutes is a conservative amount, and guess what it's only 3 to 5 minutes off 5 to 7 :-p
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