Facts Matter? wrote:
Exponential growth. There were 75 confirmed Coronavirus cases 3 weeks ago. Now there are over 20,000.
The number of deaths is following a similar trajectory.
Meaningless. Not sure it is accurate either.
Number of deaths is a real number.
exponential growth wrote:
I think everyone should watch the video by PBS that someone posted in one of the threads. That video explains really well about exponential growth.
Basically, with exponential growth, it’s basically fine and nothing is wrong for the majority of time, then boom, the numbers get so big in such a short amount of time that it’s impossible to react at that time.
Example in the PBS video shows that if each lily pad multiplied by 2 , so the first day, there’s 1 lilypad, second day, there are 2 lily pads. On third day, there are 4 lily lads. On fourth day, there are 8 lily pads. Let’s say that there is a very very large pond that it takes 60 days to cover the entire pond. Then on day 59, how much of the pond is covered by lily pads? Only half is covered. On day 58, only 1/4 of the pond is covered. So, the lily pad over producing was not an issue for the the first 55 or 56 days, but by 57 days, it becomes a huge issue very quickly.
Everyone knows what exponential growth is, we all took 1st grade math. What that has to do with this situation is a matter of opinion. People keep talking about exponential growth, but there have been no signs of that happening thus far. The death rate is not growing exponentially. The rate of infections growing is a product of more testing rather than infection spread.
You just learned about exponential growth and now you want to apply it to everything.
I remember my first beer too...
party like it's 1859 wrote:
People who use death rate as the only metric to assess the significance of this virus are among the most ignorant humans on earth.
I think there is some confusion here. The death rate for people infected with the coronavirus is significantly higer than people who are infected with the Flu. The total deaths from the Flu this year are higher naturally because a lot more people have had the Flu so far. That will potentially change.
OP is either trolling or very mentally challenged.
Total US Deaths. The real #s. What would lead anyone to believe that this trajectory will change within the next 2 weeks? Once social distancing and all the closures have their impact, then we will see the turn around. That is why these measures are necessary.
I was told the INDISPUTABLE FACTS showed no exponential growth of deaths though??
Unless US deaths really spike and soon, the narrative will have to be adjusted.
Facts Matter? wrote:
Exponential growth. There were 75 confirmed Coronavirus cases 3 weeks ago. Now there are over 20,000.
The number of deaths is following a similar trajectory.
Do you read? New cases do not necessarily mean new growth. If you are not testing anyone and only people who are sick are being reported as confirmed cases, then you start testing people and the number of cases grows, anyone with an IQ above the speed limit would understand that the spike in cases is not growth, it's the availability of testing. As testing increases, so do new cases. Fauci has said it many times that the cases will spike as more testing comes online.
Stop being a retarded sheep, which is exponentially more useless than just a sheep.
Facts Matter? wrote:
Exponential growth. There were 75 confirmed Coronavirus cases 3 weeks ago. Now there are over 20,000.
The number of deaths is following a similar trajectory.
So last week it was "geometric" growth and now it's exponential. Let me guess, next week it'll be linear growth and the week after, hyperbolic growth, and then finally parabolic regression.
The only thing that's clear is that you and the other sheep are constantly changing your forecasts to match the data. Nothing you says has credibility. It changes more than the emperor changes clothes.
Find a talking point and stick with it.
The idiot Facts Matter? is not me. He's some jacktard that cannot think for himself, as proven by his idiotic posts and lack of originality in name choice. '
Is this idiot Facts Matter still creating nonsense on these boards ? This will be painful Wejo/Rojo on the long term that you did nothing.
so the plot of the exponential death rate is irrelevant to you? lol interesting perspective...
weekwarrior wrote:
Is this idiot Facts Matter still creating nonsense on these boards ? This will be painful Wejo/Rojo on the long term that you did nothing.
If by "nonsense" you mean posting facts disseminated by the CDC regarding the flu and comparing them with the factual data being disseminated by the CDC and others regarding COVID-19, then yes. If by "idiot" you mean rational, non pansy @ss, toilet paper buying, intelligent person, then yes, that's me.
Facts Matter wrote:
weekwarrior wrote:
Is this idiot Facts Matter still creating nonsense on these boards ? This will be painful Wejo/Rojo on the long term that you did nothing.
If by "nonsense" you mean posting facts disseminated by the CDC regarding the flu and comparing them with the factual data being disseminated by the CDC and others regarding COVID-19, then yes. If by "idiot" you mean rational, non pansy @ss, toilet paper buying, intelligent person, then yes, that's me.
I believe you genuinely think you're an intelligent person.
trollism wrote:
I believe you genuinely think you're an intelligent person.
I genuinely believe you are a troll. So there's that.
I’m so glad the Letsrun forums know more than the rest of the world and understand the concept of ‘saving peoples lives’.
LRC forums rock wrote:
I’m so glad the Letsrun forums know more than the rest of the world and understand the concept of ‘saving peoples lives’.
If I said that last week 1,000 people died from the coronavirus in the USA including 5 children making the death total 23,000 since October, you would be shitting in your little panties that you wear under your running shorts. The fact that the CDC reports that exact data for the flu, somehow makes you feel better. I can't think of many things that are stupider than that!
you moron - its because the coronavirus infection and death rates are GROWING. how are you so obtuse, this is just the beginning. Obviously right now its less severe than the flu, everyone knows that...
but i was told! wrote:
you moron - its because the coronavirus infection and death rates are GROWING. how are you so obtuse, this is just the beginning. Obviously right now its less severe than the flu, everyone knows that...
Of course it's growing, and so are motor vehicle fatalities for the last few years.
Just because it's growing doesn't warrant mass panic.
Have you tried thinking beyond the fact that it's "growing"?
Facts Matter wrote:
Facts Matter? wrote:
Exponential growth. There were 75 confirmed Coronavirus cases 3 weeks ago. Now there are over 20,000.
The number of deaths is following a similar trajectory.
Do you read? New cases do not necessarily mean new growth. If you are not testing anyone and only people who are sick are being reported as confirmed cases, then you start testing people and the number of cases grows, anyone with an IQ above the speed limit would understand that the spike in cases is not growth, it's the availability of testing. As testing increases, so do new cases. Fauci has said it many times that the cases will spike as more testing comes online.
Stop being a retarded sheep, which is exponentially more useless than just a sheep.
Fair call on the number of cases - this could be skewed by timing of testing.
However, deaths is absolute. And number of deaths is growing exponentially (whether you like the word or not.) 105 global deaths 2 weeks ago, over 1600 yesterday and an increasing daily growth rate.
If you want to counter the death numbers with “they are old people and people with pre existing conditions - yes, they are - old people and people with pre existing conditions who wouldn’t have died if they didn’t contract COVID 19.
but i was told! wrote:
you moron - its because the coronavirus infection and death rates are GROWING. how are you so obtuse, this is just the beginning. Obviously right now its less severe than the flu, everyone knows that...
No, everyone doesn't know that, because it isn't true. There is no evidence that the death rate is GROWING, but plenty of evidence that suggests it's falling. What people "know" is what they have been told. That doesn't make it a fact.