Tyrone Smith wrote:
Coaches are more likely to give a 15:4x guy that runs 30 MPW than a 15:4x guy that runs 55 MPW. That is a fact.
no it's not
you could theoretically handle higher volumes and have a big upside
or you could totally blow up, get injured, burn out, just trying to get to 50-60 mpw
handling higher volumes requires a lot of miles over a lot of years. you're behind the 8-ball, which can be scary to some coaches
a kid who's averaged 55 mpw even just for his junior and senior year of high school is going to have a higher capacity to work and handle volume than someone doing 30 mpw, even with the same times. They'll be able to handle the continual increases you'll see in college. More of a "sure thing."
you? you're an unknown. your track times don't indicate that you've got a ton of natural speed, so we're living and dying by how you adapt to the higher volume of collegiate training
d1s won't give you much attention because they could bring in 20 more of you if you don't pan out. You're not a bad runner, you just need to look for the right fit. Find a lower level school (low d2, d3, or NAIA) that has a history of developing runners with your profile. look at the roster, find the kids, look what they've done in high school versus now. Were they consistent in high school and stopped being consistent in college? Was it the other way around? Do your research
don't try to angle for the schools where there's no incentive to work to develop you. Find a program that's going to value you and your progression and then has the other stuff you want in a school
or go d1 and hate the experience, not really my call either way.