Predict my half marathon tomorrow!

I think 1:25-1:30 sounds reasonable. Don't go out too hard like you did in your 3 mile race (I wouldn't start quicker than 6:30 pace) and then squeeze it over the last few miles if you have anything left.

Good luck

32 mpw is very low, probably 1:28-1:32

you'll run 1:37 at the Free Press 1/2 tomorrow morning in perfect weather.

1:28:18

If you can do 8 miles a tick faster than HM pace, then I think you can hit 1:25. Your mileage is low so you're a long way from maxing out your potential, and a bit of caution through the first 8-10 miles would be best. Don't get carried away and start running 6:10s before mile 11.

32 mpw is barely training as it is...

1:30- 1:33 would be good

What shoes are you running in?

;)

1:30 is not even a question. I can do 10 comfortable in 7 flat and just came off an 8 mile tempo in sub 6:30.

I should have bought those new nike's but probably saucony Iso's

Sweet, thank you! I plan on starting at 6:45s which feels comfortable at this point. I'll stick with that until 5k and if I'm feeling good go 6:30s and pick it up from there

my 2c wrote:

If you can do 8 miles a tick faster than HM pace, then I think you can hit 1:25. Your mileage is low so you're a long way from maxing out your potential, and a bit of caution through the first 8-10 miles would be best. Don't get carried away and start running 6:10s before mile 11.

The plan is to start at 6:45! I hope to not be going 6:10s until the last 5k if I'm feeling good. I don't want a super painful race. I'll keep you guys updated

halfmararathondudeee wrote:

I should have bought those new nike's but probably saucony Iso's

Add 5 minutes...

(I kid)

130 is definitely a possibility. I, for example, ran significantly stronger workouts and more mileage leading up to a half reasonably and ran a 133. Why do you ask? Because I didn’t execute on a prudent race plan and went out and ran a bunch of 6:05 miles to open up the race.

I think you probably have a 125 in your legs but would be better served going out at 6:45 pace and easing into the race, focusing on running a HARD last 5 miles coming in closer to 127. You could even pace 125 perhaps or just totally blow up given the thin margin of error.

halfmararathondudeee wrote:

my 2c wrote:

If you can do 8 miles a tick faster than HM pace, then I think you can hit 1:25. Your mileage is low so you're a long way from maxing out your potential, and a bit of caution through the first 8-10 miles would be best. Don't get carried away and start running 6:10s before mile 11.

The plan is to start at 6:45! I hope to not be going 6:10s until the last 5k if I'm feeling good. I don't want a super painful race. I'll keep you guys updated

So how is it going? I expect updates while you're running! Ok, not really. Only a hobby jogger would be carrying their phone with them.

Live updates now! wrote:

halfmararathondudeee wrote:

The plan is to start at 6:45! I hope to not be going 6:10s until the last 5k if I'm feeling good. I don't want a super painful race. I'll keep you guys updated

So how is it going? I expect updates while you're running! Ok, not really. Only a hobby jogger would be carrying their phone with them.

Dudeeee I crushed it! Started out at 6:40s and my last 5k was under 19. Ran 1:23 high. I'm (hopefully) going to train for a year now and we'll see where I'm at next year but hopefully pretty fast doing more than 30 miles a week over an extended period of time.

my 2c wrote:

If you can do 8 miles a tick faster than HM pace, then I think you can hit 1:25. Your mileage is low so you're a long way from maxing out your potential, and a bit of caution through the first 8-10 miles would be best. Don't get carried away and start running 6:10s before mile 11.

I hit 1:23 high! I'm very surprised. It started out a bit faster than planned in 6:40 but felt great through 5k and started ramping it up to 6 flats by the end. Hoping to train and see where it goes next year

halfmararathondudeee wrote:

my 2c wrote:

If you can do 8 miles a tick faster than HM pace, then I think you can hit 1:25. Your mileage is low so you're a long way from maxing out your potential, and a bit of caution through the first 8-10 miles would be best. Don't get carried away and start running 6:10s before mile 11.

I hit 1:23 high! I'm very surprised. It started out a bit faster than planned in 6:40 but felt great through 5k and started ramping it up to 6 flats by the end. Hoping to train and see where it goes next year

Told you so.

halfmararathondudeee wrote:

I hit 1:23 high! I'm very surprised. It started out a bit faster than planned in 6:40 but felt great through 5k and started ramping it up to 6 flats by the end. Hoping to train and see where it goes next year

yeah sure...proof or you're a liar.

jim m wrote:

halfmararathondudeee wrote:

I hit 1:23 high! I'm very surprised. It started out a bit faster than planned in 6:40 but felt great through 5k and started ramping it up to 6 flats by the end. Hoping to train and see where it goes next year

yeah sure...proof or you're a liar.

Lol why is that so unbelievable? I told you guys that I ran 8 miles at that pace several weeks ago alone in trainers. Is adding 5 more in a race setting in flats that unreal?