After 43.03 wrote:
After an all out 400m, in which you don’t know you have to run another until you hit the finishing line, I’d set the over / under at 90 seconds and I may take the over.
A max is just that.
Now, for the each second slower, I’d probably pop off ~5 seconds or so from the over / under until it’s a normalized split.
43/90 = 2:13
44/85 = 2:09
45/80 = 2:05
46/75 = 2:01
47/70 = 1:57
48/65 = 1:53
49/60 = 1:49
50/55 = 1:45 (max time if he happened to be extremely talented at 800m)
This is the most accurate answer in my opinion. Anyone claiming under 2:00 has never run an all out 400m. You find it hard enough not to be sick let alone run another lap.
Maximum is 2:13 but most likely he'd just have to walk/jog 350m which takes around 3 minutes. Wouldn't be pretty.