Degenerate gamblers, we have compiled a betting guide for you.
What bets look like good investments to you? Last year, we told you where to bet and if you had followed our advice, you would have returned 80% on your investment.
This year, we haven't made our decisions yet and have to admit it seems like there are fewer value plays.
If Semenya is 1/6, I don't think it makes sense for Ajee Wilson to be 10/1, surely Niyonsaba is still a favorite over Wilson? What are the odds for Niyonsaba (and Wambui)? I think I'd bet against Wilson but that's a tough way to make money... 40:1 seems pretty generous for Lipsey as well.
I'd bet on Justin Gatlin winning because I strongly dislike him, so either I win money or he loses.
Donavan Brazier at 9:2 for a medal seems pretty good, I'd put money on him.
14:1 for Paul Chelimo as well; isn't Chelimo most likely to win after Farah?
Jenny Simpson 16:1 for a medal -- I'd put most of my money there.
Ayana is tricky, 8:13 puts her as a huge favorite but we just have no idea what shape she's in.
ggfsgasdfs wrote: Ayana is tricky, 8:13 puts her as a huge favorite but we just have no idea what shape she's in.
Ayana is not 8/13 anymore, at least not at paddypower. There's money showing elsewhere so Ayana is now a positive return at 11/10.
Semenya has now been bet down to 1/8 at paddypower with Wilson up to 12/1. Generally when there's a massive odds-on favorite in an event the juice is higher than typical overall and the prices that seem like bargains are actually the opposite.
I'm pulling for Jager, but +145 for the field to win an event no one outside of Kenya has won in I don't know how long seems like really really good value. Is Jager really that heavy a fave?
And Hiliary is president
I'm on Hassan in the 1500 at +160.
Your 'implied win percentage' is completely wrong. You're ignoring bookmaker take.
Add up all the win percentages with your method and it would be far more than 100%.
Sorry much less.
You have to get on board early with PP track betting,
I've backed: Chelimo @ 66/1; Wilson @25/1; Jager @8/1; Kam @8/1; Tola @8/1; and Korir @ 10/1.
Joh's Jury wrote:
You have to get on board early with PP track betting,
I've backed: Chelimo @ 66/1; Wilson @25/1; Jager @8/1; Kam @8/1; Tola @8/1; and Korir @ 10/1.
When did you back them? Jager and Korir look ridiculous.
ggfsgasdfs wrote:
14:1 for Paul Chelimo as well; isn't Chelimo most likely to win after Farah?
I just looked at a few sites to check this out, most don't show anything (might have to download the app). One site I found had Mo on 1.25 (or 1/4) while Chelimo was 21.00, he is the 5th favourite. The 3 Ethiopians are 2nd-4th.
Coleman is @ 9.00 while Simbine is 41.00.
10000m Mo is 1.30 while Kamworor is 5.00
WvN is seen as white hot in the 400m.
Amos is ahead of Korir by most bookies.
Most give Kiprop a good chance of winning 1500m (2nd favourite behind Manangoi)
When did you back them? Jager and Korir look ridiculous.
I backed them the day the odds were released. It's a small market, so PP don't put much advance effort into making them airtight. They wait for money to start being wagered, then make quick adjustments in response.
Subway Surfers Addiction wrote:
ggfsgasdfs wrote:14:1 for Paul Chelimo as well; isn't Chelimo most likely to win after Farah?
I just looked at a few sites to check this out, most don't show anything (might have to download the app). One site I found had Mo on 1.25 (or 1/4) while Chelimo was 21.00, he is the 5th favourite. The 3 Ethiopians are 2nd-4th.
Coleman is @ 9.00 while Simbine is 41.00.
10000m Mo is 1.30 while Kamworor is 5.00
WvN is seen as white hot in the 400m.
Amos is ahead of Korir by most bookies.
Most give Kiprop a good chance of winning 1500m (2nd favourite behind Manangoi)
Tola vs Wanjiru looks like a good race.
Those people offering 5 to 4 on Spotakova are fools. Women's jav is wide open with a lot of mid-60's throwers and nobody consistently above it. Betting against them could pay off.
Tiernan 300/1. Zane R not even listed....
One of these two will MEDAL today....
Is Dibaba out of the 1500? can't find her in odds.
KAV wrote:
Tiernan 300/1. Zane R not even listed....
One of these two will MEDAL today....
Right...
He who laughs last.....
KAV wrote:Tiernan 300/1. Zane R not even listed....
One of these two will MEDAL today....
joke of the year !!!
I like Mo Ahmed to medal at 16:1.