5th Avenue Mile: Who You Got?

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  • 5280feet
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 5:29pm CDT
    Forum Index
    I saw the thread on prediction for the CVS 5k and looked for one on 5th avenue but don't see one.

    The 5th Avenue mile is tomorrow. Who you got?

    On the men's side, I'm going with Nick Willis. He just ran real fast in Europe. Most of the other guys are past their prime or not that great.

    Will Leer and Symmonds are my other choices. Does Manzano do well on the roads? If he can make it 3/4 of the way and be in contention at that point he could win.

    Elite Men
    Mile Personal Best
    Twitter
    Bernard Lagat
    3:47.28, Rome, 2001
    @lagat1500
    Leo Manzano
    3:50.64, London, 2010
    @leomanzano
    Nick Willis
    3:50.66, Eugene, 2008
    @nickwillis
    Lopez Lomong
    3:51.21(i), New York, 2013
    @lopezlomong
    David Torrence
    3:52.01, Eugene, 2012
    @david_torrence
    Ryan Gregson
    3:52.24, London, 2010
    @ryangregson
    Garrett Heath
    3:53.15, London, 2013
    N/A
    Ben Blankenship
    3:54.10, Eugene, 2010
    N/A
    Collis Birmingham
    3:54.30, London, 2009
    @cjbirmingham
    Evan Jager
    3:54.35, Eugene, 2009
    @evanjager
    Pablo Soloares
    3:54.52(i), Boston, 2009
    @psolares
    Ryan Hill
    3:54.89(i), New York, 2013
    @RyanHillNCState
    Will Leer
    3:55.66(i), Boston, 2010
    @william_leer
    Craig Miller
    3:56.41, Walnut, CA, 2012
    N/A
    Nick Symmonds
    3:56.72(i), Seattle, 2007
    @nicksymmonds
    Matt Elliott
    3:57.16, Nashville, 2013
    @mattelliott1500
    Daniel Huling
    3:58.24(i), Seattle, 2012
    @danielhuling
    Brett Robinson
    4:02.46, Dublin, 2011
    @brettrobinson91
    Ben St. Lawrence
    N/A
    @bennysaint


    On the women's side, I'm going with Jenny Simpson. The favorites rarely win these road miles.

    Elite Women
    Mile Personal Best
    Twitter
    Shannon Rowbury
    4:20.34, Rieti, 2008
    @shannonrowbury
    Jenny Simpson
    4:25.91(i), College Sta, TX, 2009
    @trackjenny
    Gabriele Anderson
    4:27.94, Falmouth, 2012
    @gabrieleande
    Chelsea Reilly
    4:30.18, Falmouth, 2012
    @CheReillyRuns
    Hannah England
    4:30.29, Gent, 2009
    @hannengland
    Nicole Schappert
    4:30.65, Dublin, 2012
    N/A
    Zoe Buckman
    4:30.86, Dublin, 2012
    N/A
    Susan Kuijken
    4:34.11(i), Blacksburg, VA 2009
    @susankuijken
    Sara Vaughn
    4:34.29, Falmouth, MA, 2011
    @MomVaughn
    Katie Mackey
    4:34.98(i), Seattle, 2010
    @KatieFMackey
    Heather Kampf
    4:37.13(i), Ames, IA, 2013
    @HeatherRaeKampf
    Morgan Uceny
    4:38.87(i), South Bend, IN, 2008
    N/A
    Violah Lagat
    4:39.42(i), Boston, 2013
    @v_legit
    Eilish McColgan
    4:43(r), Newcastle, 2012
    @EilishMcColgan
    Margherita Magnani
    N/A
    @MaggieMagnani

    I paster in the top people. I don't think it formatted properly.
  • wobb is the man
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 6:39pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Where is Wobb. With Chris Solinskew in the US road 5K championships I was hoping my favorite runner Alan Wobb would be running this. Go Wobb!!!!
  • Camel Evans
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 6:40pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Evan Jager looked really strong in Belgium, Im going with him.
  • Killarney
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 6:40pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    I really hope Will Leer and his mustache leads it out through 800m only to get trounced and then quotes Prefontaine again in the post-race interview.
  • symmondsftw
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 6:41pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Symmonds has been killing everyone in Europe. What have the others been doing recently?

    Lagat did beat Rupp in that 5k, but he's getting old and isn't as fast anymore.

    Symmonds will win.
  • Hardloper
    registered
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 6:45pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Wow, what a good field. I agree on Willis FTW.
  • mazzasan
    registered
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 6:55pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    I assume this will be live streamed at NYRR?
  • willleerisabitch
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 7:01pm CDT
    re: Killarney
    Forum Index
    Killarney wrote:

    I really hope Will Leer and his mustache leads it out through 800m only to get trounced and then quotes Prefontaine again in the post-race interview.

    He also has to whine about doing all the work.
  • Hardloper
    registered
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 9:34pm CDT
    re: symmondsftw
    Forum Index
    symmondsftw wrote:

    Symmonds has been killing everyone in Europe. What have the others been doing recently?

    Lagat did beat Rupp in that 5k, but he's getting old and isn't as fast anymore.

    Symmonds will win.
    I will never count Lagat out in this thing. Until he actually gets crushed, I can see him being a contender, especially if it's fast. I still think Willis is the one to beat but if Lagat pulls it off again I will not be surprised one bit. Symmonds might be a good bet in a slow race.
  • Flo'da boy
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 10:43pm CDT
    re: Hardloper
    Forum Index
    Agreed on never counting out Lagat. Only Centro beat him last year.
    I'm rooting for Symmonds to win and think he has a good shot. Lagat is my second choice and Lomong is my wildcard.
  • Big Fan
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 11:04pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    I am going with Torrence for the win here. Coming off a 3:33, this guy is coming in hot.
  • wineturtle
    registered
    6 years ago 09/20/2013 11:15pm CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Uceny and Heath
  • bolder1
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 12:34am CDT
    re: wineturtle
    Forum Index
    Simpson and Heath
  • Hardloper
    registered
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 12:35am CDT
    re: Big Fan
    Forum Index
    Big Fan wrote:

    I am going with Torrence for the win here. Coming off a 3:33, this guy is coming in hot.
    That would kick ass if that happened, but Willis ran 3:32 in that same race so he still gets the edge.
  • dazzledee
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 12:37am CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Jenny Simpson
  • Coach D
    registered
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 12:54am CDT
    re: dazzledee
    Forum Index
    Hard to pick against Nick Willis after the performance at Rieti.

    I'm going with Morgan Uceny. She's obviously getting it back together again, and I think she has the biggest incentive, although Rowbury's up there in the incentive department after the USATF gaffe.
  • longjack
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 1:09am CDT
    re: dazzledee
    Forum Index
    great race.

    the guys that do well are the guys that mostly peaked all wrong this summer. except that is for symmonds who peaked just right for the late summer. you just can't time it better.

    THE A tesm. 1500 form.

    you have nick who will surely run 333 334 but not 332.
    you have willis who finally got it together late capable of 332.
    lagat can go 332 333 for sure as it's come together for him late, though he was if fair shape all year.
    the rolling stone has peaked pretty well and it on his A game is good for 333 right now not faster.
    good leo-bad leo has been all bad leo recently. normally i'd take him for the win if he wss coming off only a bad race. old leo could run 332 345 333 342 in 4 races...

    From the B squad a couple of guys are good for 334 even 333 high. one of them could crack the top 3.

    OK I'm going to pick

    1 Willis 350
    2 Lagat 350
    3 Nick 351
    4 Yager 351 high
  • reg
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 2:08am CDT
    re: longjack
    Forum Index
    Does anyone know the finalised field for Sunday?
  • Trollist the First
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 3:53am CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Kuijken and Torrence because they're coming in hot.
  • long sox
    6 years ago 09/21/2013 6:41am CDT
    re: 5280feet
    Forum Index
    Willis had time off with injury, no time to get into good shape for Moscow, but is now having a late season peak. Most of the others were peaking for Moscow (if not the trials) and are now on the downhill side of their peak and hoping to extend their season just a bit longer.

    I'm going to say Willis too, but never rule out Lagat.

    Not sure about the women.