Another prediction like thread.
I am the distance track coach for a high school.
I have an athlete who will be a senior next year.
This past cross country season, he was running an average if about 18:20 for the 5k.
He is very determined but he doesnt know what he is doing ( he got an overuse injury)
I will be training him over the summer. I'm not his xc coach, but they dont meet ovee the summer anyways.
He is starting his base mid-may at 30 mpw. He will reach his max of 50-60 mpw by mid august.
Here's my question. He s never had consistent GOOD training his 1st 3 years of hs, though he has been running.
He s never even done a base before.
Assuming i hive him good quality training starting mid- may all the way through the end of october; what can he be expected to achieve timewise?
Im very careful to ease into the mileage and to prevent injury.