Can Kszczot threaten 1:41.01?

Yes

he did look pretty smooth and convincing last week

Sure, why not? He's only 3 seconds off in an 800.

While we're at it, by the same reasoning, maybe there is a 20.0 200 guy or a 10.0 100 guy who can take Bolt.

Yes it is possible for him to win in London. Championship races are unpredictable, especially in the 800/1500. And Rudisha is certainly not invincible. Whether or not Kszczot can run 1:41 is irrelevant, as the Olympic final will be won within the 1:43.5-1:44.5 range.

For the record, I don't think Kszczot will run 1:41, but he can likely run 3:29.5 for 1500.

And don't bring a total farce like Bolt into the discussion. That freak is loaded with SARMS and his entire athletic career exists simply to advertise and bring in money to the IAAF/IOC. Weak.

Maybe, but he hasn't done anything to indicate that sort of ability.

No

He is young and a little over two seconds off the record and improving, so it's possible. It would take at least another year and a half to find out.

I hadn't realized he was born in September 1989. So he ran 1:43.30 a week after his 22nd birthday in 2011.

If he wants to break the record, however, 2.3 seconds is a long way to go.

But I wouldn't be surprised if he broke the white guy 800m world record in the next year or two.

He's looked so smooth indoors this year. Cruising to the 3rd fastest time ever the other night.

I think he'll run low 42s this summer if he stays healthy.

800 runners usually find their best years at 23-25. After that its just trying to hold on.

The reason may be testosterone peaks at that age, and the body just finishes growing (legs, arms, lungs).

I don't think Kszczot will run 1:41.01, but he can run under 1:42.5, and possibly even 1:42.00, which means he is a definite medal contender this Olympics and maybe the next one. From there he could move up to the 1500 and probably run 3:30 into his early 30's and have a good career.

His medal chances in London are enhanced by Kaki moving to the 1500.

"the Olympic final will be won within the 1:43.5-1:44.5 range"

How do you know this? History of past Olympic performances?

800m Medalists from last 3 Olympics

http://i.imgur.com/oYqvn.png

http://i.imgur.com/gO4zw.png

http://i.imgur.com/5pwyq.png

Would love to see Kszcot take Gold in London.

Reality Bath wrote:

His medal chances in London are enhanced by Kaki moving to the 1500.

Has Kaki definitely stated he's going to run the 1500 in London and not the 800!?

I didn't know that.

I think people are getting a bit carried away with Kszczot. Yes he's very good, yes he's only 22 and yes he's running very confidently at the moment. However indoor form, as we have seen in the past (e.g. Coghlan, Sanchez) doesn't always translate into the same sort of dominance outdoors in the summer.

Kszczot ran a great 1:43.30 last September and he should make further progress this summer. I'm not sure what his 400 ability is at the moment (does anyone know?), but he looks like he could get down to 1:42.5 this year. That's potentially good enough to win in London if it goes out in 51 + or if Rudisha does a Coe from 1980. If Rudisha is in his 2010 form and is within 4m of Kszczot (or whoever the leader is) with 200 to go, I don't see Rudisha losing.

Running 1:44.57 at this time of the season is great, but not that unusual. His splits in that race, if anyone is interested, were: - 24.7, 25.9 (50.6), 26.8 (1:17.4), 27.2

LOLsef Stalin wrote:

Yes it is possible for him to win in London. Championship races are unpredictable, especially in the 800/1500. And Rudisha is certainly not invincible. Whether or not Kszczot can run 1:41 is irrelevant, as the Olympic final will be won within the 1:43.5-1:44.5 range.

For the record, I don't think Kszczot will run 1:41, but he can likely run 3:29.5 for 1500.

Really!!? What do you base the belief he will run 3:29.5 for 1500? Do you have any stats for him for that distance?

To suggest he'll run 1:41 and 3:29 is a pretty bold prediction.

NO, of course he won´t run WR neither sub 3:30 in the 1500

Easy Bessy. Let's slow down a bit.

He dropped his 400 pb to 46.51 during the Polish champs last season. So he's got Seb Coe type speed and will need the same endurance (sub 3:30) if he is to approach 1:41.

I can see him going between 1:42.5-1:43.0 this year.

Watchoing his last two indoor races, it's great to see an athlete so pumped up before the start of the race. He's got the fire in the belly.

deanouk wrote:

Reality Bath wrote:

His medal chances in London are enhanced by Kaki moving to the 1500.

Has Kaki definitely stated he's going to run the 1500 in London and not the 800!?

I didn't know that.

Yeah, after Daegu he basically threw in the towel vis-a-vis Rudisha, and ran one or two very good 1500s. Since then Aman beat Rudisha, tugging at Superman's cape, so a change in heart is always a possibility.