I will admit I know more about the girl's division than the boys, since I have 2 daughters a bit younger who run. I'm surprised to see the defending national XC champ at #2, although there's no real bad choices. They give a lot of weight to 3K and 1500m track times. Is this a good analysis?
I know Gerry Lindgren ran a relatively fast mile, but is proof that you can be great at higher distances without a low bottom line (800m, 1500m, etc).