I voted "no" to Geb breaking the world record. You know why?
Actually, its not because I'm a racist American who's never been out of his hometown.
It's because the marathon is a fickle beast- it's not like an 800 or 1500 where you have to have a perfect race for only a few minutes.
In order to break the marathon world record as strong as Tergat's, you have to have a PERFECT race- no major pacing errors, no bad wind, no untied shoelaces- EVERYTHING has to go perfect.
I knew Geb was PHYSICALLY capable of running faster than 2:04:55. The question was whether or not everything else would go perfectly. Would his stomach bother him? There was a rain forecast for Berlin that day that proved false; what if it had poured or even rained enough to make the roads slippery, costing Haile 2 seconds a mile?
Don't try to attack people who predicted wrong- the odds were terribly against Haile breaking the record. I honestly didn't think he would do it unless everything broke perfectly- which it did.
I think its a wonderful accomplishment, and the friendship between Haile and Paul Tergat is one of the great moments of sport (even if the maintstream will never recognize how great it is). I was just respecting how difficult the marathon is.