Hey DIIIers after the big weekend at Penn, Drake, and Hillsdale what does everyone think about the up coming National meet. Any up sets possible. Saw a Wartburg girl (Porter) moved ahead of Taddy and I hear and Terlow is going to give Leer a run for his money.
Any one else see anything note worthy this weekend or have any predictions for Nats?
taddy doesn't lose anything she runs. Leer won't lose the 15. zodda will win the 8. garrahan won't lose under the 1500. i'm calling zach barr for the steeple. 5k/10k is up in the air for men.
under the 3k, i mean.
It would be nice to see Zach Barr win the steeple caping off his comeback from a horrific injury, but I don't know if the plate in his leg will hold up for him to win.
Yeah, Leer's got the 1500 wrapped up. He's rated #1 in the 800 (so he has the speed) and the 5k (so he has the strength). He closed the inddor mile with a 26 second 200 which will be hard to beat. Should be interesting to see if he doubles the 800 or the 5k (like he did at nationals).
he's my dark horse. I'm pullin' for him. He ran the same 3k time indoors that he did when he won it outdoors, and though he doesn't have the same speed, I heard he's just a lot stronger. I think he can bust one.
explain more what happened to Barr. I have seen him in some races and wondered what happened to him after his fantastic runs in 2005
I don't know the exact details of how he did it but he injured himself in September of 2006 during some extracurricular activities, suffering a compound fracture to his tibia, I think. I heard that it was unlikely that he could run again, at the time, so it's pretty cool to see him back and running well. He has a metal plate in it holding it together. I'm surprised that he would steeple on it and risk further injury, but I guess it's his choice. Anyway he needs to get a qualifying time in the event.
Leer does not have the fastest time in the 5K...in fact he is not within 10 seconds of the fastest time in the 5K, that honor goes to Hany Abdallah of NYU who ran a 14:12 at Penn this weekend.
With that being said, I do not seem him losing in the 1500 at all. Kid is amazingly talented
Ryan Terlouw ran a 4:05 mile on Friday. He may be able to challenge Leer.
Jimmy O'Brien has the fastest 800 time running 1:49.94 at hillsdale this weekend.
out of the sunyac watch out for joslyn, cloke and hunkovic
out of the sunyac watch out for joslyn, cloke and hunkovic
do you think alot of people that qualify in both the 5k and the 10k will double or stick to one?
none of this means anything until jose miranda weighs in.
Barr should be trying to improve his steeple qualifying time at the UW Badger invite in a week. Thats where he ran his 8:56 from two years ago. He appears to have no adverse affects to his training and steepling, just playing catch up from a year without training. The metal rod was inserted (or pounded basically he told me) into his leg, then the bone grows back around it.
W's 800m: Taddy, just too strong and shouldn't have to overextend herself in 1500m.
M's 800m: Zodda, experience.
W's 1500m: Taddy, no contest.
M's 1500m: Lehr, too much speed and strength.
W's 5000m: Zerzan, excellent 1500m speed (4:33) to go with xc title and 16:28. With seven women sub-17 (indoors & out) could be the deepest and most competitive race.
M's 5000m: Joslyn, strong as a horse and great finishing speed. Lehr will have same problem as indoor- not enough rest after 1500m.
W's 10000m: Wizsowaty, ran 34:40 unchallenged (pick could change if Zerzan runs an unrabbited 10k)
M's 10000m: Joslyn... see men's 5km.
W's Steeple: Garrahan, in a great battle to the finish with Bradley.
M's Steeple: Kosgie, you heard it here first. Ran 9:12 in second steeple ever, a week after a 1:52.24 800m.
i was able to watch kosgie hurdle when he ran 9:12. That technique won't work when he's surrounded by other runners. Unless he gets the form down, I don't see him pulling it out over more experienced steeple guys.
don't know much about the women...
men:
10k: Joslyn, Cortland
I know picking the guy with the fastest time is the easy way out and my gut said pick sigl... but I've seen sigl front-run and die more than once (think XC nats at OWU in '05)....
5k: Man, the 10k and 5k lists are starting to look like a Haverford/NYU/Cortland tri-meet, but I'll think outside the box and say Jed Christiansen (Calvin) takes it... those calvin boys know what it takes to dominate a national meet.
1500: Leer FTW... Terlouw is an intriguing possibility, but Leer has superior PRs over and underdistance, so he'll dominate here...
800: I like Zodda here... but I like O'Brien even more. Both have run sub 1:50, both are experienced on the national scene (Zodda was 2nd a year ago. O'Brien may be just a sophomore, but he's run at XC nats, was 9th in the 800 outdoors as a freshman and won the indoor title) O'Brien ran a solo 3:53.06 a few weeks ago. I like that strength here.
Steeple: I don't know a gosh darned thing about this race - how about Ian Ramsey-North (Haverford)... hyphened names are sweet.
id would like to know what all plans on doubling. especially the 5 and the 10. seems like a tough double.