And then the marathon will get faster several years after that. But this has been happening for a while. The times in 2016-2018 were a lot faster than 2010-2012. The times in 2010-2012 were faster than 1998-2000. And I'll bet there will be more sub 8:55 3200 runners in 2032 than there are this year.
…not so sure. All top College guys had super spikes in 2023. Not all HS had super spikes in 2023 (now they do), which is why you see the improvement this year over last year.
if you look at NCAA indoor 5000m times, you will see that:
50th in 2023 was 13:42
50th in 2024 was 13:46
…of course, 50th was 14:01 in 2018.
The big jump occurred earlier in College.
Remember the Oregon (Nike) guys in indoor in 2021?
They were heads and shoulders above the rest for some reason (lol)
What is the opportunity cost? Peter Coe & David Martin were guarded regarding specifics of S Coe's training until S Coe retired from elite level racing. In 1989, Peter Coe & David Martin began putting together books. Peter Coe went on tour advocating their training. Mileage was reduced, cross-training added included weight training with heavy weights. U.S. high schools training the gals & guys in Peter Coe & David Martin approved manner lead to medals and numerous sub-1:44 800m performances in U.S., 00s & 10s. Some posters on here twenty or so years ago called the era of Peter Coe-type training dark days for U.S. running. The number of sub-9 guys, 3200m did go down under Peter Coe-type training. We have traded fast 800m performances for fast 3200m high school performances with fast U.S. elite male 5000m performances. If U.S. males don't soon begin earning Olympic &/or W.C. medals, it will all be a waste. Now, no 800m medals. When are we going to see someone who attended a U.S. high school earn a 5000m medal?
The majority of top Arcadia performances are concentrated in the past few years (2021-2024), with 2024 having the most entries (22) and 2023 the fastest average time (8:43.36).