AI is going to start replacing most lawyers in 2/3 years

Can it and call it legalGPT. still need someone to get up and argue in court.

This might come as a shock to you, but most lawyers don’t go to court.

We are in for a few wild years I suspect.

Oh, absolutely. Medicine is going to be massacred - my surgeon friend thinks he’ll be replaced by a machine within 15 years.

I’ve been using the GPT that won’t make things up (no hallucinations like Chat GPT), and I’m not in danger of losing my job. The written memos aren’t anything like what I (or my associates) can write, in a bad way. On the other hand, the AI does a pretty good job on particular tasks. But if I tried to submit those to the client or a court as a work product, I’d get sued for malpractice.
Also, AI isn’t going to replace anyone who’s good at their job. It’s doing certain things that I can do, but faster, but I already have more work than I can handle, and no doubt my clients would like me to do more. It’s a great tool used in the right way, but no one will want AI as their lawyer, for many reasons.

A ChatBot that represents a client in court has a fool for a client?

Here's proof that AI is incapable of doing simple T&F research. Good luck relying on that crap.

I would say AI judges or juries are a bigger deal than AI lawyers.

But then where will we get dishonest politicians and dirty lobbyists from? You can’t bribe AI.

Are you sure the AI didn't just make up half a dozen fake court cases complete with fake case numbers quotes that don't exist and was used to try to fool a judge and opposing lawyers but instead got the lazy lawyer sanctioned?

nytimes.com

Here’s What Happens When Your Lawyer Uses ChatGPT

By Benjamin Weiser

A lawyer representing a man who sued an airline relied on artificial intelligence to help prepare a court filing. It did not go well.

Open link

You don’t say what the issue was in your case. Given that it was an amicus brief, I’m guessing that it was a broad legal issue rather than a factually-intensive one. I’m not sure that I would trust AI for any case involving a complicated set of facts.

Good the profession is trash filled with trash people

this.

The citations are often fake. It can get general principles right, but when naunance is involved it will often be confidently wrong.

Granted, the same could be said about many lawyers.

Yes, the number of lawyers and paralegals will decrease for sure, but there will still be human lawyers needed, just that the once that remain will be smarter and have greater nuance and expertise critical for cases that are less common or without precedent.

Language models won’t actually think up new strategies that humans would find creative, as in new knowledge like in an academic paper, but machines beyond language models will evolve in the near future.

It’s not going to replace lawyers other knowledge workers as much as it’s going to make existing lawyers engineers etc 5 times more productive. Some of this labor will be eaten up by higher fidelity requirements and some will be a reduction in force. But new avenues of work generally open up to replace things which are automated, we don’t know what that will be yet though.

There are roughly 3 million lawyers in the US.

if lawyers become 5x more productive with roughly the same demand for legal work, what do you think will happen?

I think you might be surprised at the number of people who currently would be fine with (hypothetically) having a proven AI as their lawyer and who in 10, 20 years time would be fine with it.

I've seen a nurse robot get better feedback than a human nurse. By that I'm referring to people's perceptions and preferences, not accuracy and other realms. And quite frankly, a robot would be a vast improvement over some of the nurses I've encountered.

Please note, I'm not saying whether this is a good or bad thing.

Food for thought.

Yes it's easier to have something that is 90% good to edit as opposed to starting from scratch. A friend mentioned that they asked GPT to write a real estate listing and what was presented was 90% good. Some quick edits and done.

So, I guess it will put Westlaw and Lexus Nexus out of business.