Lancaster is very good. Also should be an early favorite.
I think you are underestimating how fast 7:40 is.
Also, typically you don’t run 7:40 with 4 guys that can go under 1:55. It’s usually two studs who can run 1:50/1:51 consistently doing most of the work, and then two guys who can consistently run 1:57.
And then you have to put it all together on the right day.
This post was edited 5 minutes after it was posted.
Added a thought
I don't think I am. Thress is a potential state champ in the 800 (we'll see in a week), and he has a 1:52 in him for sure. The guy can go sub 50, and I watched him run 2:03 as an 8th grader. T. Lanoy likely can go 1:55, which is what last year's 4:18 suggests. He is only stronger and faster now - remember he was 6th at XC state in the fall. And the other Lanoys are not far behind, though they tend to gravitate to the 32. Any of them could drop a 1:55-56 and I wouldn't be surprised.
Taylor and Schorr are less experienced, but Taylor had a massive breakthrough a districts last year dropping that 1:56. Schorr has impressed indoor this year, qualifying for state in the 1600 as an individual.
So yes, 7:40 is fast. But I don't put this year's Lancaster squad too far behind the Thomas Worthington team a few years back that went 7:39 (Jha - 1:51, Morgan - 1:54, Banks - 1:56, Allen - 1:58). With the exception of Jha, they're pretty comparable, actually. And if Thress goes 1:52... I say 7:40ish in definitely in play.
D2/3 will only be faster because of Nastari. Other than him, D1 is the most competetive that it has been in years in the 800. Getting top 24 in the 800 this year would require 1:58.43. Last Year top 24 in the 800 for D1 wasn't even sub 2. I'm looking forward to some good competition.
Girls D1 3200 is STACKED. the fast heat ends with 12th girl at 11:14!!..although who knows who all declares and from the "slow" heat, you cant count out Dillon Sweetman, Ella Johnson and Natalie Fouts snagging a possible podium spot. I think itll come down to how many event(s) everyone else runs in the meet
So Last evening the heat sheets came up showing all of the particpants in the 4x800, and one thing that I noticed was that of my top 2 teams that I predicted (Oletangy Orange and Dublin Coffman), It appears as if Olentangy Orange IS running their full A team and seem to be going for the win; However, in the entries Dublin Coffman IS NOT running their entire A team, so the chances of them winning seem very slim.
Nothing really surprising. Just a few initial comments based on the results sheet:
Ethan Cope of Toledo St. Francis getting 4th in the 1600m was nice to see. I think 4:15.53 is a PR for him. If he doesn't try to lead it in the first 200m in June (LOL) he could podium and set another PR and gear up for a very nice senior year.
Jaxson Eckert? That's a new name to me.
Good to see Rudraraju back in the mix after his lackluster cross state meet last November.
That 7:48 from Lancaster is nice. Let's see what they can do later in the spring. They're also one of the favorites for the overall team title in June. I saw they also had two pole vaulters go 1-2.
Naturally, March 4th just makes things more interesting come June in Columbus.