bugattiaron wrote:
I predict that between Cheptegei, Kejelcha, Kiplimo, Kipruto, and Kandie, the race will go out aggressively around 26:45 pace and be strung out by 1k. Then that whole group will drop the hammer for the last 2-3k, final lap will be under 55, and the finishing time will be around 26:28 (new Olympic record, by a lot)
These half-marathon specialists have zero % chance of beating Mo Farah on the track
only real contenders are proven track runners ~ Cheptegei, Ahmed, Kiplimo, Kejelja (less so now that hes being coached by rowberry)
that is the exhaustive list. Farah might no longer be able to run 3:28 but he doesn't need anywhere near that kind of top end speed to outkick this field and he is just as strong if not stronger than he ever was.