Sure seems that Cranny's future lies in the 5000 and 10,000 after yesterday, right?
I think she recently posted a joke about how she considered herself a 1500 runner and Jerry was having her run the 10,000, but I think she has a way easier Olympic path in the longer events.
Assuming Purrier and Houlihan both run the 1500, I can't see Cranny beating either of them, and then there is a cadre of others -- Sinclaire Johnson, Cory McGee, Shannon Rowbury, Jenny Simpson -- that I would imagine are running the 1500 and would have to be favored over Elise. Not sure what Schweizer et al will run. In the 5000, Cranny has the 4th fastest time in the country after Houlihan, Schweizer, and Rowbury. I think she would be pretty clearly favored over everyone else that might run it, unless there is a wild card like Simpson deciding to run the 5000. It does seem that Cranny has really caught up to Schweizer as well so she could very well beat Karissa. She has a decent shot if she runs the 5000. In the 10,000, I think she has the #1 US time in this cycle. She'd be heavily favored to make the team.
I'd say from easiest to toughest to qualify, it'd go 10,000, then 5,000, with the 1,500 by far the steepest hill to climb. Plus, she doesn't have the 1500 standard, and hasn't come within 1.5s of it. Not sure if there are any other opportunities to hit it before the Trials.
I know she believes herself to be a 1500m runner, but perhaps she'll let go of that? The Oly Trials schedule is pretty rough if she decides to go for a double -- the 10,000 would be 2.5hrs after the first round of the 1500. She could definitely do the 1500/5000 double pretty easily, but then she'd be sacrificing her easiest path to Tokyo.
10,000 & 5,000 seems pretty ideal -- focus on your easiest path, bank a T3 finish, have basically a week of rest until the 5,000 for a bonus. Or, if she misses the 10,000, enough time to come back a week later and give it a go.