ExcelHSCoach wrote:
How can you have a good economy if going out means getting sick? If going to work means you have a 20% chance of going to the hospital in the next year and a 1% chance of dying?
Wouldn't it be better to have cases low enough that with mass testing and contact tracing you could find and quarantine infected people? Maybe slow the spread through a few other measures like maybe minimizing how often you go out? Keeping your distance? Wearing a mask?
Nevermind that seems dumb. MERICA!
What new catastrophe is going to cause a 1% chance of dying and a 20% chance of hospitalization, because it isn't COVID. If COVID you would need approximately 7000 deaths per million before herd immunity of 70%. Nowhere in the world had anywhere close to that and there are pockets that have reached or are close to herd immunity. If there was a 1% IFR it would suggest only 5.5% of Sweeden was infected. We know from the early antibody tests that have been found to fail to detect antibodies a huge portion of the time that over 7% of Stockholm had antibodies that were detectable in April, just a month into the pandemic. COVID IFR varies greatly by age and physical condition(for those in nursing care it may be over 10% based on what we saw in the east coast nursing homes) but across the population, it is nowhere close to 1%.