Yes or No: Joe Biden will win the presidency

No.

Can’t wait for Joe to debate Trump. Joe won’t know what hit him.

Mr Dimentia wrote:

No.

Can’t wait for Joe to debate Trump. Joe won’t know what hit him.

Me neither. It will be like watching a debate between a first grader and a college professor.

d3 guyy wrote:

Mr Dimentia wrote:

No.

Can’t wait for Joe to debate Trump. Joe won’t know what hit him.

Me neither. It will be like watching a debate between a first grader and a college professor.

Biden's only chance is if he challenges Trump to a fist fight for the presidency. Which may actually happen. It's going to be great.

survey says wrote:

No

No, but I'm less sure than I was about my 2016 prediction. I think corona might be on a lot of voters' minds.

survey says wrote:

No

Why title this thread “Will Joe Biden Win...?” when everyone will clearly just respond with who they’re going to vote for - like you. No one is voting for one and predicting the other. Wouldn’t expect anything less from the “World Famous” message board of Letsrun (as long as you’re a white male).

yikes!!! wrote:

No one is voting for one and predicting the other.

Happens all the time.

yikes!!! wrote:

survey says wrote:

No

Why title this thread “Will Joe Biden Win...?” when everyone will clearly just respond with who they’re going to vote for - like you. No one is voting for one and predicting the other. Wouldn’t expect anything less from the “World Famous” message board of Letsrun (as long as you’re a white male).

I expect to vote for Trump (Not 100% Sure, but 90% chance) but I think Biden has to be favored right now, I think there is an 80% chance Biden Wins, There is no certainty with the Corona Virus, and both are known to say and/or do stupid things, so it is not really predictable.

I am really looking past this to 2024, where I think it will be AOC VS Tucker Carlson, which will be really wild (If Biden Wins in 2020 I expect AOC to primary and beat Biden) Tucker Carlson is gaining support rapidly, and AOC says what most people think and has massive support.

kingojamin wrote:

Yes, but won't serve. Will resign at 12:01 p.m. on Inauguration Day and let his woman VP be president.

LOL, Why would he do that? he has wanted to be President his whole life (He first ran in 1988) That would be like Evan Jager having a 30 Meter lead in the Olympic Steeplechase and feeling great and then dropping out with 5 Yards to go so 2nd place could win. That would be illogical.

Yes but a tentative yes.

His own cognitive decline is the only thing that will stop him. He's pretty bad now but if he stays how he is and doesn't get worse he'll beat trump.

Both are horrible choices. Trump is worse though as he's intentionally bad. Biden is just accidentally bad.

bigman400 wrote:Both are horrible choices. Trump is worse though as he's intentionally bad. Biden is just accidentally bad.

+1

I can’t vote and if I could would hold my nose and vote for Biden, because Trump is a horrible human and dangerously unpredictable and brittle. That said, I expect Trump to win, in spite of what the polls suggest. If nothing else, he is a survivor and has found a way through countless existential threats to his candidacy and presidency.

Lamplighter wrote:

what the wrote:

Yeah cause Trump and Jared are hell bent on helping the Palestinians.

Give it a rest, Trump Heights.

I am voting for Biden because Trump is a fascist, but when it comes to the issue of Israel, Biden’s policies will kowtow to the Zionists just as much as Trump. The Democratic primary was a disaster for those of us who wanted some progress in the region. With the defeat of a progressive alternative Israel can now proceed with the goal they have always had, arranging the dissolution of the Palestinian polity. In two generations many Israelis will not even know Palestinians ever existed.

Gen Y Jews in the US and Israel support Palestinian Return, Palestinian Human Rights, and an end to Official Apartheid.

Trump/Netanyahu recent barbaric moves are for show and at best temporary. Even Gantz says so. That's why Obama/Kerry and Iran FM Zarif agreed on timed moratorium.

Biden will win this. Can't see how Trump recovers.

The polling is much much worse for Trump this time compared with 2016. Clinton never had much more than a 4-5 point lead in the months leading up and there were perhaps 20% undecided voters right up to the final week.

This time Biden is polling at around 50% with only about 10% undecided. Can't see how Trump can win back enough people who are already happy to say they've made a decision.

Latest Fox News polls have Biden up in Georgia, North Carolina and Texas (?!). Not saying it's impossible, but will need a massive turnaround for this to be even close.

Buried well below the fold on Fox News (along with the resurgence of Coronvirus) is their latest poll.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-widens-lead-over-trump-republicans-enthusiastic-but-fear-motivates-dems

It cannot be underscored enough how much worse the current polling data is for Trump than in 2016. He is getting clobbered in every swing state that matters and at real risk of losing historically republican strongholds E.G. Texas. What should scare the Trump campaign most is the sheer number of paths Biden currently has to the White House. The Republican Party currently runs the risk of losing the presidency by an embarrassing margin. This will, in parallel, have broad impact on other races.

You may not like FiveThirtyEight but you have to respect their analysis. Here is an article that appeared this morning that summarizes the situation well.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/new-polling-shows-trumps-electoral-college-advantage-is-slipping/

There's a three-way split in the voting population now. Biden is senile and incoherent and doesn't know where he is most of the day. The worst mental shape for a candidate ever in US history. Young voters aren't excited for Biden. But they hate Trump. If Biden doesn't switch fast to progressive positions then Trump may edge him out. Remember polls don't matter. Only turnout matters. Biden must immediate declare #BanThePolice #DefundThePolice #FreePalestine #MedicareForAll #AllLivesMatter to excite Gen Y and Gen Z voters otherwise voters under 40 will stay home and Trump will win re-election.

Read The Torah wrote:

There's a three-way split in the voting population now. Biden is senile and incoherent and doesn't know where he is most of the day. The worst mental shape for a candidate ever in US history. Young voters aren't excited for Biden. But they hate Trump. If Biden doesn't switch fast to progressive positions then Trump may edge him out. Remember polls don't matter. Only turnout matters. Biden must immediate declare #BanThePolice #DefundThePolice #FreePalestine #MedicareForAll #AllLivesMatter to excite Gen Y and Gen Z voters otherwise voters under 40 will stay home and Trump will win re-election.

I would suggest that the turnout in 2018 in a good indicator that the turnout in 2020 is going to be better than 2016.

People want to see the back of Trump, they're enthusiastic for that. Maybe a certain portion of Bernie voters won't show up but plenty of young people will.

Polling does matter, and it shows a huge gulf between the two candidates at the moment. Biden doesn't have to do very much at all, the ball is in Trump's court to try (probably in vain) to win back some of the ground he's lost.

Historically young people have a relatively lower voter turn out than other age groups. Biden should not move toward more progressive positions and slogans, which are not popular with the general electorate in order to gain favor with this group.

Trolling is right and Torah poster misses the mark.

It's more accurate to say that Trump is likely to lose the election than to say Biden will win. A department store mannequin could make a strong run against Trump's record at this point. The difference from 2016 is that this election is a referendum on Trump and he's done little to court centrists.

Polls don’t matter... Yikes...

God.

Can they actually pull that off?