Monkeys typing wrote:
Deaths lag infection by about 4 weeks, so the naive expectation is that next week deaths will be higher and then we'll see the start of the plateau.
Yeah I was hopeful maybe this week would be the worst in Florida because it's going to end up being a really bad week. There are 1124 deaths in the past 7 days. That's with 159 deaths for last Saturday and Sunday (35 on Sunday even for a Sunday looks like a reporting quirk given Florida's usual). I remember when the Clay Travises of the world were boasting Florida had 1/10 the deaths (3,200) of NY (inaccurately cuz they used the NY number of probable deaths). Florida is possibly less than 1 week away from getting to 1/3 of the NY deaths (25,150 and barely moving), and the tide has not turned as far as steadily reversing the curve.