Will Nico Young's younger brothers surpass him? They are faster than he was in 9th grade

Very likely not to answer OP. Unless it is a whole faimly of runners like the Ingebrogtsens which is rare. I was a very good runner collegiately and my younger brother was actually better than me through grade school. I would hype him up when people asked if I had a brother. He tried track but was not that good once he got to the competition in high school. I quickly pulled away from him after he was the one who appeared to be a very young prodigy following my footsteps. He did track in high school just to do it, was never considered a good runner. Probably did not break 18 for 5k. I ran sub 14 for 5k.

That's a huge difference between you and your brother. Did your brother really try to maximize his potential though? I have trouble imagining two siblings who have more or less the same body type and genetics to have such a huge difference in performance. Even my older brother, who hasn't done any form of running specific training, was always close to me in mile time. He could even beat me in the sprints. In your brother's case, I think he has the talent to get close to your time, but never did the event specific training needed.

I have coached brothers who have completely different body types. Most recent one that comes to mind, one ran 4:15 while older brother ran 4:50.

The predictions below don't hold up. Young's already run 22:30 8k this year. He's run close to 13:20 or better guys, and if he is healthy should be close to that mark for 5000m outdoors.

flotrack rocker wrote:

Do you know what facts are? My entire post was factual. If Grijalva went from 8:45 to not breaking 14 as a freshman, equating that to Young woukd put him at 13:50. Placing 26th in the NCAA with 7:56 which is where Young woukd have been indoor woukd out him at 13:45 (26th outdoor 2019). That is how data works. You have to step back from your bias and examine the entire data set. If you are lredicting Young faster than 13:45, you are ignoring the facts of the other 25 ahead of him because each of their equivalent times should be faster but they were not. The data puts him squarely at 13:45 meaning 13:50 is as likely as 13:40. Granted that woukd be for this year so I woukd probably bump it a bit and predict 13:39 next year if I was establishing a betting pool.

Leo Young has run 14:49, while Lex Young has run 14:27, plus 4:17 mile (they are sophomores).

It would not be unexpected to see one or both under 14 senior year.

I wonder who the better fraternal trio of running will be - Ingebritsens vs Youngs

So much could depend on their health. It looked like Lex missed time at the end of last XC season and Leo hasn’t been in any results lately. Anyone know if he’s injured?

just a guy being a dude wrote:

I wonder who the better fraternal trio of running will be - Ingebritsens vs Youngs

I'd say odds heavily favor the Ingebrigtsens, although my guess is that the Youngs will probably be more 5000m-10000m runners while the Ingebrigtsens are 1500m-5000m runners.

todooornottodo wrote:

USA USA wrote:

You need a new odds maker . NAU has had 2 guys in history go sub 13:20 so the odds are not in favor of Young doing it.

You are correct, but the odds of any collegiate running sub 13:20 are not likely...no matter the coach or program. How many American's have ever ran under 13:20 while in college? Vaughn, Rupp, Jenkins, Derrick, Chapa, Day? Am I missing anyone?

If Nico stays healthy and hungry he'll have a chance, but it's more likely he goes on and has a great NCAA career, but without cracking 13:20.

Bill McChesney, Jr., ran 13;14.80 as a runner for the University of Oregon:

herbal T wrote:

So much could depend on their health. It looked like Lex missed time at the end of last XC season and Leo hasn’t been in any results lately. Anyone know if he’s injured?

Their coach said in an interview after they ran XC last fall he gave then a long break because they are only sophomores and didn't want to rush things.

It seems they are both racing now and healthy. Smart move to give them an extended break

Young fanclub wrote:

"I´d say odds heavily favor the Ingebrigtsens, although my guess is that the Youngs will probably be more 5000m-10000m runners while the Ingebrigtsens are 1500m-5000m runners. "

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When comparing the Youngs with the Ingebrigtsens remember that Jakob´s older brother´s teen years times were much less impressive than Jakob´s.

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I think Jakob will end up being a 1500-HM runner!

Jakob said early last year that his best event currently was the 5000m and in the long term it would be the HM.

zxcvzcxvy wrote:

Leo Young has run 14:49, while Lex Young has run 14:27, plus 4:17 mile (they are sophomores).

It would not be unexpected to see one or both under 14 senior year.

Many sophomores have run a 4:17 mile or faster and very few of them went on to break 14:00. It doesn't matter who their brother is.

Bill McChesney ran 13:14 and his younger brother, Ken, was probably around 14:30.

objectiveobserver wrote:

Young fanclub wrote:

"I´d say odds heavily favor the Ingebrigtsens, although my guess is that the Youngs will probably be more 5000m-10000m runners while the Ingebrigtsens are 1500m-5000m runners. "

--------------

When comparing the Youngs with the Ingebrigtsens remember that Jakob´s older brother´s teen years times were much less impressive than Jakob´s.

----------------

I think Jakob will end up being a 1500-HM runner!

Jakob said early last year that his best event currently was the 5000m and in the long term it would be the HM.

Makes sense. Jakob has the most range of the Ingebrigtsens. I doubt any of the Youngs will ever be at his level, but I can see them having times comparable to Henrik and Filip.

Young fanclub wrote:

objectiveobserver wrote:

Young fanclub wrote:

"I´d say odds heavily favor the Ingebrigtsens, although my guess is that the Youngs will probably be more 5000m-10000m runners while the Ingebrigtsens are 1500m-5000m runners. "

--------------

When comparing the Youngs with the Ingebrigtsens remember that Jakob´s older brother´s teen years times were much less impressive than Jakob´s.

----------------

I think Jakob will end up being a 1500-HM runner!

Jakob said early last year that his best event currently was the 5000m and in the long term it would be the HM.

Makes sense. Jakob has the most range of the Ingebrigtsens. I doubt any of the Youngs will ever be at his level, but I can see them having times comparable to Henrik and Filip.

You see the Young brothers running 3:30-31?

Anyone know if the brothers have burned out yet?

I haven't heard any updates yet:)

bagelduo wrote:

Anyone know if the brothers have burned out yet?

I haven't heard any updates yet:)

Are they training like Gerry Lindgren? I've never heard of Sophomores burning out.

Well lets see, With a time of 13:24.26, Young broke the U20 American record, qualified for the Olympic Trials, fourth fastest 5K in school history, and set an NAU freshman record; Young's time also ranked fifth in NCAA. 13:20 easily within range.

The bothers: Lex just an 8:43 as a sophmore, and Leo also broke 9 minutes. Could the naysayers on this thread be any more wrong?

This didn’t age well…

jonesy22 wrote:

Well lets see, With a time of 13:24.26, Young broke the U20 American record, qualified for the Olympic Trials, fourth fastest 5K in school history, and set an NAU freshman record; Young's time also ranked fifth in NCAA. 13:20 easily within range.

The bothers: Lex just an 8:43 as a sophmore, and Leo also broke 9 minutes. Could the naysayers on this thread be any more wrong?

They need this: