She may run under 30 for all we know (I don't see any evidence that she's in this kind of shape now), but she has no shot whatsoever at a 10000m medal in this era of sub-29 cheats.
.....
There's only one sub 29 minutes female track athlete... Beatrice Chebet. One on the road was Agnes Ngetich but I'm mainly concerned with track medals.
Her last outdoor campaign didn't she place 4th at World Outdoors even after having to maneuver around one of her teammates. She didn't gain ground but didn't lose much ground against the 3 best 5000/10000m female kickers.
She may not get the AR but it needs to go under 30 minutes this year!
And, I believe Shelby actually does have a very reasonable chance of doing it tonight.
Last year following her 14:45 in Europe, Shelby stated afterwards she had just been training in Phoenix, claiming she doesn't start "locking in" until going up to altitude where the serious work begins.
Well, per SoundRunnings' IG reel below, she's been up in Flag for over a month now, feeling like herself again, and flat-out stated her goad for tonight is to break 30. Admitted that may just be a hope rather than a real possibility. However, for someone who's been world class for a decade now, have to believe she has run workouts which indicate sub-30 is in her wheelhouse.
Jesse/SR founder should have put the women's 10,000 as the final event, rather than the men's. This is the race-of-the-night, the one with the most drama.
BTY, sub-15 gal Bailey Herterstein is one of the pacers. Should be able to follow the pace lights to a 15-flat split . . . then Shelby on her own -- a very familiar experience for her.
Shelby allegedly has run 30:31 in a time trial, but that was almost 4 years ago. She was still in her prime then, even if suspended. Now she is 33 and it will be interesting if she can match her alleged time trial from 2022.
Race says 1230 pm eastern time. Is that correct? It used to be an evening race not a morning race with it being in California
No.
Gun goes off at 8:55 pm PDT for women's elite race.
One factor against a super fast time is the weather.
SoCal is still feeling lingering effects from the recent heat wave which hit the west.
Temps at start of race forecasted to be 66 deg F. Almost 10 deg warmer than The TEN's featured 10,000 races in years past. Partly due to moving the race from the beginning of March to the end.
Race says 1230 pm eastern time. Is that correct? It used to be an evening race not a morning race with it being in California
No.
Gun goes off at 8:55 pm PDT for women's elite race.
One factor against a super fast time is the weather.
SoCal is still feeling lingering effects from the recent heat wave which hit the west.
Temps at start of race forecasted to be 66 deg F. Almost 10 deg warmer than The TEN's featured 10,000 races in years past. Partly due to moving the race from the beginning of March to the end.
Cheptegei’s 10000m WR was set in 77 degree weather. 66 degrees is cooler than just about any DL meet.
I think Jess McClain will win it in 30.10. She is suddenly ripped and fast. She's 34 and is swole af! She looks like Shelby did before she got popped. I know Roche coaches her and lord knows what brew he has cooked up for her but her sudden rise to the top at her age is interesting. I hope it's all natural.
I think Jess McClain will win it in 30.10. She is suddenly ripped and fast. She's 34 and is swole af! She looks like Shelby did before she got popped. I know Roche coaches her and lord knows what brew he has cooked up for her but her sudden rise to the top at her age is interesting. I hope it's all natural.
She does have a very different physique to the others in these pics, considering it’s outside and not in any downlighting that may make someone look more jacked. Felicia is ripped in her own stuff but Jess is a different level of muscle density here.
LOL - is it still too early stage for you? I thought she was convicted of doping (cheating with the drug nandrolone), served her ban for intentional doping, and is back since last year.
She was sanctioned for rule violations. Not quite the same thing.
Yes, doping violations. Not intentional doping. Intention is not part of it.
Houlihan isn't breaking 30 tonight. 30:30 to 31:00 at best.
We have to be cognizant that Shelby in her return BU mile race from suspension said she was targeting the indoor World Record (4:12 I believe). I don’t think she has quite a handle on times after long spurts of training. I’d bet 30:40ish after a 15:05 first 5,000.
This post was edited 22 seconds after it was posted.
My gut tells me she will not break the record. Shelby is a racer and a good one, she is not a time-triallist (like Letesenbet Gidey).Sifan Hasan is one of the few that can both race and time trial. There do not see to be low 30 range runners in this race that she can hang with until it's time to go.
