Y'all read Mo Katir's poem in alluding Jakob blocked him from lining up in this 2 mile attempt? Katir could have threatened 8:00
I get along well with the one who tries to excel And is looking for the finer way to build With the one who feels free and lives without lying With the one who only lives it and lets it live - A lot of sacrifice to get here Too long maintaining the ki My father taught me and I never learned Live your way but always be happy.
Ok you guys have convinced me—if he is in shape, he will get it…but not in a 7:20-equivalent time.😁
Wavelight is imo an unfair advantage, especially for a racer like JI
The lights are THE biggest advantage we have seen in track and field ever. Let me qualify that - doping is and has been around for a long time. Athletes of multiple decades have had access to it, but the same is not true for pacing lights which have only really existed 4 seasons. The advantage they give not just for the athletes going for times but also in helping pacemakers is hard to quantify but in my opinion astronomical. The ability to run multiple laps basically within a half second of each other - especially 3000m and upwards is the true game changer. Look at the records of Cheptegei/Gidey and their lap time variance compared with Bekele for example. Gidey can't win tactical 5000m races to save her life but is the WR holder showing the massive advantage first hand when she can run evenly. If you watch Kipyegon in the WR in the final 600m when she is alone, she is constantly glancing down to her left keeping check of the lights. The mental stimilus that provides and feedback which enables her to control her pace and never panic surge/push at any point gets her that record by that margin.
Jakob, similar to Komen, is simply the perfect guy to take advantage of this. His metronomic pace judgement is well known - in fact his only weakness is when he's asked to accelerate/make multiple accelerations during races (case in point the world final last year). I can totally see a scenario where if he has a good day and is feeling it, he just latches onto that rail and those little LEDs and it puts him in position for the record for 600m to go. At that point would be hard to see a guy as fast and as strong falter. We are going to find out in an hour I guess!
He ran 3:28.32 in an olympic final after 2 hard rounds, he ran 3:46.46, can run low 12:40s, and is olympic champion and world champion. Why does everyone doubt him he is pushing the sport continuously and we should all support him.
Anyone know if Jakob has ever used wavelight pacing before? It will be interesting to see what his tactics are with this and also the pacers in general.
I mean he definitely has - I guess most notably in his 3.46 mile last year at Oslo.
With respect to tactics? I don't think there are any, are there? You can set the exact and optimal pace you want to run, the lights go exactly at that pace and you just need to keep them in your periphery as you run. You don't worry about if you are losing time/need to gain time - just follow the light. That's the tactic (unless someone else can come up with something that you might do differently with them?)
I would put my house on the WR going down if I was a gambler
He's in shape according to his workout and he's got the shoes and pacing
It's still a 7.27.xx 3000m + an extra 220m without faltering. It's still going to be tough - not sure the roof over my head would be my bet, but he definitely has a legitimate shot.
Looking at IAAF equivalency tables the 2 mi record is pretty weak. Makes sense, since it's hardly ever raced.
8:00 in the 2mi is equivalent to 7:26 / 12:46. He has run 7:27 / 12:48.
It will be tight but my prediction is 8:01.
Bekele, Haile and Komen in their prime could have easily broken 8.
Your last sentence has three big names. IMO, a man has to be in at least sub-7:25.50 3000m condition to even race 7:59.99 two miles, at least sub-7:25.00 3000m condition for 2 mile w.r.
You are wrong. 9.58 , 12:35.36 and so on definitely are stronger than 7:58.61.
Sure. I expect the "weak" 2 mile record that has stood longer than virtually all others will still be standing after the weekend.
So, if the 2 Miles record will not be broken today, you will use it as evidence that the record is as strong as 9.58 and all the others? At least you have some constancy in the level of your "reasoning".
7:58.61 pace for 2 Miles is 7:26.10 for 3000m. The 3000m WR is (maybe that's new for you) 7:20.67.
3:43.13 pace for 1 Mile is 3:27.97 for 1500m. The 1500m WR is (maybe that's new for you too) 3:26.00.
And almost anybody would agree, that the Mile WR is weaker than the 1500 record.
The 2 Miles record is clearly weaker than the 3000m record, this is not debatable. And the 3000m record also is not on a par with the 5000m and 1500m records.
Btw., the 2 Miles World lead so far is 8:35.79. For you probably also an indication that 7:58.61 is exceptionally strong.