Well....... wrote:
priv wrote:
It's based on the number of registered deaths with and without Covid-19 as a contributing factor. The last 2 weeks have had the highest numbers of deaths recorded in the last 40 years (Feb 1976 sounds like a rough time).
Covid-related deaths account for something like 65% of the increase above average, so the mystery is the remaining 35% - were they not tested for Covid? Were they as a result of people not seeking treatment for other illnesses? Were they related to the lockdown? Is there something else going on?
All the above :).
Just to actually answer a bit more in depth, as am in the UK, here's what I think... There's some things I think the UK has actually been ok with, but they've screwed up on others.
The number one issue imo, is care homes not being protected. This is a tricky one, as they are often privately funded and cost a lot of money, and normally provide their own PPE (afaik and they should with the extreme costs for a lot of them). However, with the contention for resources with other NHS equipment, the care homes have struggled.
So I'm guessing, a reasonable amount of that figure is from care homes, who haven't had proper resources. Some are already on deaths door, and would probably be guided to not send them to A&E. I'm guessing this is the same in various countries.
Then because of the media frenzy, everyone is scared of going to hospital for other conditions now, and lots of other essential treatments have been blocked, so cancer patients etc start to suffer. The government has tried to address this somewhat, but realistically no one wants to go to hospital now, and I don't blame them. They'd rather die at home for another condition rather than get CV at the hospital, and this is one of the other issues with the lockdown and why we actually need to try and get a semblance of normality into peoples lives, so they don't feel afraid to get treatment etc.