Jakob hasn't qualified for the 5000 in Paris

Given the shape he showed in the race that just happened, he has no chance in both

How many will go through with ranking? I have a hard time believing that there will be enough people to go in front of him in ranking points, without them taking the qualifying time?

This is one of the most braindead takes I've seen on LRC in a while. He won the race in 3:29 just 5 days after running a 3:45 mile and having to travel 5k miles after being based in Flagstaff for the last couple of months.

Not saying he is the prohibitive favorite in either, but to say he has no chance is ridiculous.

He is literally ranked #1 by an enormous margin. As long as there are any spots being awarded through ranking, he will get in. Nobody can pass him by ranking.

As of yesterday there were 9 people who would have qualified by ranking while the rest were by standard.

I think after today's meet, 3 (or fewer) additional people qualified with the standard. So in the worst case, there are still at least 6 spots open for ranking with 1 month to go. In addition, the pool of athletes who can even go that fast is rapidly diminished since standard qualifications will only matter if it comes from a country with fewer than 3 athletes qualified right now (So the 10th Ethiopian or American with the standard doesn't bump Jakob down lower)

I would say with confidence that he is qualified.

If you're the reigning world champion you should get a freespot. And if you're the twice reigning champion, you definitely should get a free spot. If the schedule wasn't so stupid in Tokyo, Jakob would have been the Olympic Champion there as well (Cheptegei won with a 12:58 and a 55 second final lap, Jakob beat him with over 6 seconds in Florence earlier that season). In Tokyo there was 1 day between the 1500m and 5000m final. When El G did his double in 2004, there was a 4 day gap between the 1500m and 5000m final. Much more reasonable.

As long as there aren’t 42 sub 13:05s in the qualifying period he’s good since no one is beating him on world ranking.

Let's not forget the weather was brutal in Tokyo. It's something absurd like 75F+ Dew point. So 12:58 might well be mid-12:40 or faster in better weather. Tokyo Cheptegei was really really strong, not as good as the GOAT Bekele, but certainly deserves more credit.

The Olympics are not run by World Athletics like the World Championships.

I’m seeing him at 5th, but it doesn’t include the 2 mile for some reason even though that should count. I bet everyone above him has the standard (and that no one is actually above him if the 2 mile is included).

The original post is so strange to me. How is there any risk whatsoever?

Jakob will be on the outside looking in if they add 10 Universality entrants to the 5000 at the last minute like they did in the marathon.

The 4 ahead of him in the world rankings have the standard. he’s top ranked of those without the standard.

right now’s he’s 34th on road to Paris list (1st person without the standard). They take 42 to the Olympics. Not sure if that includes today’s race or not.

worldathletics.org

Road To | World Athletics

Open link

he could go and run 1304 at Euros perhaps?

Today’s race is included. They take 42, so he has nothing to worry about.

Universality entries can only go in the 100, Maraton and a small number in the 800.

He’s a slam dunk for the ranking if he wins the Euro 5K, which he likely will. He also figures he can maybe hit the standard in the final. He has 10 major races coming up; he doesn’t need to waste his bullets on a tough 5K right now.

Yeah totally agree. I think Jakob's head to head record against Cheptegei and the Florence race makes us think that he'd take him any day of the week, and I think 8/10 times yes, but that day Cheptegei would've given any of the all time 5000m greats a hell of a race.

They don’t have universality entrants in the 5000.

Yes,99% chance that he’s in

Henrik however is out. He does have one very low score which drags his average down, so a podium finish at Euro would put him back in.

There will surely be at least 4 or 5 spots available on points by the end of qualifying period.

Unfortunately, Jakob didn't make the cut for the 5000-meter event in Paris. Despite his hard work and dedication, he fell short of the qualifying standards for the competition. This setback serves as a reminder of the challenges athletes face in their pursuit of excellence. While it may be disappointing, it also presents an opportunity for Jakob to regroup, reassess his training regimen, and strive for improvement in future competitions. With determination and perseverance, he can use this experience as motivation to come back stronger and achieve his goals in the future.

World Athletics ≠ International Olympic Committee