doubt you're a race director wrote:
Where's the DQ? wrote:Past Performance - Yes, I use the MacMillan calculator a lot myself, and frankly, my marathon times don't line up with my 5 mile times. It is generally close for most people, but what if no one has a running history, and they have a great race - do we DQ them because their time seems suspicious?
Don't get me wrong, most of the rest of your post is also bollocks, but I decided to focus on this point. Most people whose times don't line up on the McMillan calculator are aerobically undertrained and perform far worse as the distance gets longer. Mike Rossi says that he ran well over 1000 miles over the course of 18 months. Lets be generous and say that he ran at most 1500 miles, though I suspect it was closer to 1000, given the way that he likes to brag about and exaggerate his workouts. That would put him at 15-22 miles/week.
Maybe if Rossi was training like some ultra competitor, running and walking 150 miles/week at extremely slow paces, one could expect his McMillan equivalency for the marathon to be faster than his shorter races. However, he is running less in an average week than the distance of one single marathon. If anything, you would expect his marathon equivalency to be worse than his shorter races. I believe that somebody calculated his best time run at a shorter distance to be worth a 3:38 marathon, while his best actual marathon time was 3:44? or something close. This would make me believe that his 3:44 was an excellent performance for him and he knew this as well, judging by how he praised it in his blog.
I currently run around 15 miles/week and I could still pull off a 16 minute 5K no problem, off of the fumes of past collegiate training, but I would completely break down if I tried to run a marathon, probably taking walking breaks after 25 or 30 km and finishing in more than 3 hours.
Why do people quit arguing as to whether or not Mike ran 3:11?
We ALL know he didn't. Everyone. There isn't a single person here that believes he did.
That's not the point, so quit arguing it.
The point is whether or not the race committee had enough hard evidence to warrant a BQ. After looking at everything, their lawyers probably told them they didn't have enough to go forward with a DQ without avoiding a lawsuit (which they wouldn't lose, but the resulting bad publicity would cause financial harm).