Justyn Knight is the Heavy Favorite over Grant Fisher at NCAA XC, Ednah Kurgat Over Schweizzer

  • submit to reddit

by LetsRun.com
November 17, 2017

Update: 11:09pm 11/17

Voting is still open in the $200,017 NCAA Running Warehouse NCAA XC Prediction Contest, but we’ve crunched the first set of votes from the contest and the LetsRun.com faithful expect some barn burner of races at the NCAA Cross Country Championships in Louisville, Kentucky.

On the men’s side, making sense of the voting is pretty easy. Justyn Knight of Syracuse is the big favorite to win the individual crown over Stanford’s Grant Fisher, while Northern Arizona is the slightest of  favorites to retain its team crown over BYU.

On the women’s side, the voting is a bit more complicated. More people think Ednah Kurgat of New Mexico will win the women’s crown than defending champ Karissa Schweizer of Missouri, but Schweizer got more points in voting (that means some people think Kurgat will completely bomb in the race or people left her off the voting). Similarly in the team voting, more people think New Mexico will win the NCAA title than Colorado, but Colorado got more points in the voting than New Mexico, meaning some of you think New Mexico’s 5th runner is going to struggle and New Mexico might slip down the standings out of the top two.

Update: On the women’s side, Ednah Kurgat of New Mexico is the slight favorite over defending champ Karissa Schweizer of Missouri, and the New Mexico women are slight favorites over Colorado.

Detailed vote tallies below:

LetsRun.com Men’s Super Poll Results
1. Northern Arizona (258) 5066
2. BYU (256) 5054
3. Syracuse (19) 3794
4. Stanford (3) 3223
5. Portland (1) 3058
6. Colorado (4) 2950
7. Furman 1298
8. Colorado St. 864
9. Oregon (1) 760
10. Arkansas 741
11. Michigan 487
12. Southern Utah 338
13. Alabama 320
14. Oklahoma State 258
15. Virginia Tech 246
16. Iowa State 234
17. Washington 221
18. Iona 215
19. Michigan State 135
20. Ole Miss 104

Others receiving votes: 21. Boise State 70 22. Texas 66 23. UCLA 65 24. Air Force 64 25. Utah State 60 26. NC State 60 27. Mid. Tenn. State 52 28. Princeton 49 29. Navy 31 30. Virginia 26 31. Washington St. 11

LRC Comment: As exepcted a tight two team battle between NAU and BYU.

Men’s Individual Poll
1. Justyn Knight (369) – Syracuse 4596
2. Grant Fisher (73) – Stanford 3892
3. Rory Linkletter (3) – BYU 2439
4. Vincent Kiprop (14) – Alabama 2017
5. Gilbert Kigen (9) – Alabama 1848
6. Joe Klecker – Colorado 1553
7. Alfred Chelanga (4) – Alabama 1280
8. Matthew Baxter (1) – Northern Arizona 1043
9. Tyler Day – Northern Arizona 973
10. Jacob Choge (1) – Mid. Tenn. State 900
11. Emmanuel Rotich (4) – Tulane 825
12. Andy Trouard – Northern Arizona 742
13. Casey Clinger (2) – BYU 451
14. Connor McMillan – BYU 380
15. Amon Kemboi – Campbell 369
16. Emmanuel Roudolff-Levisse (2) – Portland 283
17. Grant Fischer (2) – Colorado St. 279
18. Colin Bennie – Syracuse 261
19. Ben Flanagan – Michigan 242
20. Jonathan Green (1) – Georgetown 219
Others receiving votes: 21. Lawrence Kipkoech (Campbell) 158 22. Jerrell Mock (Colorado St.) 155 23. Hassan Abdi (Oklahoma State) 154 24. Clayton Young (BYU) 152 25. Jack Bruce (Arkansas) 142 26. Josh Kerr (New Mexico) 135 27. Jonathan Davis (Illinois) 131 28. Dillon Maggard (Utah State) 88 29. Jeff Thies (Portland) 81 30. Oliver Hoare (Wisconsin) 76 31. Alex George (Arkansas) 66 32. Edwin Kurgat (Tennessee-Martin) 63 33. Kigen Chemadi (Mid. Tenn. State) 55 34. Azaria Kirwa (Liberty) 52 35. Zach Perrin (Colorado) 46 36. Other () 46 37. Ben Veatch (Indiana) 37 38. Colby Gilbert (Washington) 33 39. Aidan Tooker (Syracuse) 33 40. Casey Comber (Villanova) 32 41. Tanner Anderson (Oregon) 29 42. Nick Hauger (Portland) 29 43. Brian Barraza (Houston) 27 44. Aaron Templeton (Furman) 25 45. Andrew Gardner (Washington) 23 46. Joe Hardy (Wisconsin) 23 47. Hlynur Andresson (Eastern Michigan) 23 48. Austen Dalquist (Arkansas) 19 49. Dan Curts (Iowa State) 19 50. Paul Hogan (UMass Lowell) 18 51. Conor Lundy (Princeton) 15 52. Andrew Jordan (Iowa State) 15 53. Johannes Motschmann (Iona) 14 54. Steven Fahy (Stanford) 13 55. Brent Demarest (Virginia) 13 56. Arsène Guillorel (Samford) 13 57. Bryce Miller (UMKC) 13 58. Philo Germano (Syracuse) 13 59. Mickey Davey (Air Force) 11 60. Sean Tobin (Ole Miss) 11 61. Andy Snyder (Washington) 8 62. Miler Haller (Boise State) 8 63. Clark Ruiz (Michigan State) 8 64. Lachlan Cook (Virginia) 8 65. Christian Farris (Texas A&M) 8 66. Timothy McGowan (Penn State) 7 67. Patrick Reilly (Lehigh) 7 68. Jon Bishop (Texas A&M) 7 69. Connor Mora (Michigan) 6 70. Nahom Solomon (Georgia Tech) 6 71. Andrew Marston (Villanova) 5 72. Paul Luevano (Boston U.) 4 73. Alex Rogers (Texas) 3 74. Nadeel Wildschutt (Coastal Carolina) 2 75. Taylor FloydMews (Bradley) 2 76. Troy Reeder (Furman) 2 77. Swarnjit Boyal (Cal Poly) 1
LetsRun.com Men’s NCAA Picks
Justyn Knight 75.6 %
Grant Fisher 15.2 %
Vincent Kiprop 2.9 %
Gilbert Kigen 1.8 %
Alfred Chelanga 0.8 %
Emmanuel Rotich 0.8 %
Rory Linkletter 0.6 %
Casey Clinger 0.4 %
Emmanuel Roudolff-Levisse 0.4 %
Grant Fischer 0.4 %
Others 1 %

LRC Comment: Justyn Knight is the bigger favorite than we thought he’d be.

Knight has only lost one cross country race since the start of 2016

Knight has only lost one cross country race since the start of 2016

 

LetsRun.com Women’s Super Poll Results
1. New Mexico (250) 4680
2. Colorado (219) 4662
3. Oregon (18) 3539
4. San Francisco (26) 3518
5. Stanford (3) 2952
6. NC State (1) 1827
7. Arkansas (3) 1695
8. Michigan 1479
9. Providence (1) 865
10. Boise State 724
11. Furman 429
12. Penn State 325
13. Villanova 321
14. BYU (1) 255
15. Michigan State (1) 233
16. Iowa State (2) 224
17. Washington 185
18. Wisconsin 159
19. California 109
20. Oklahoma State 109

Others receiving votes: 21. Syracuse 85 22. Utah State 85 23. Minnesota 72 24. Ole Miss 59 25. Columbia 52 26. Indiana 49 27. Georgia 46 28. Dartmouth 37 29. Texas 35 30. Eastern Kentucky 34 31. Eastern Michigan 31

LRC Comment: New Mexico now leads in first place votes and total points.

Women’s Individual Poll
1. Ednah Kurgat (214) – New Mexico 3685
2. Karissa Schweizer (136) – Missouri 3664
3. Elinor Purrier (40) – New Hampshire 2787
4. Allie Ostrander (19) – Boise State 2418
5. Charlotte Taylor (7) – San Francisco 2174
6. Dani Jones (15) – Colorado 2097
7. Katie Rainsberger (4) – Oregon 1808
8. Alice Wright (2) – New Mexico 668
9. Grayson Murphy (1) – Utah 631
10. Weini Kelati – New Mexico 600
11. Sharon Lokedi (1) – Kansas 366
12. Amy-Eloise Neale – Washington 298
13. Katherine Receveur – Indiana 253
14. Caroline Sang (1) – Charlotte 243
15. Weronika Pyzik – San Francisco 237
16. Charlotte Prouse – New Mexico 235
17. Allie Buchalski – Furman 232
18. Elise Cranny – Stanford 172
19. Paige Stoner – Syracuse 151
20. Bella Burda – Villanova 150
Others receiving votes: 21. Nikki Hiltz (Arkansas) 142 22. Samantha Drop (Georgia) 141 23. Karisa Nelson (Samford) 108 24. Other () 84 25. Gina Sereno (Michigan) 78 26. Vanessa Fraser (Stanford) 73 27. Taylor Werner (Arkansas) 63 28. Makena Morley (Colorado) 59 29. Bethan Knights (California) 58 30. Winny Koech (UTEP) 49 31. Catarina Rocha (Providence) 46 32. Sarah Disanza (Wisconsin) 45 33. Carina Viljoen (Arkansas) 40 34. Jessica Drop (Georgia) 33 35. Isabelle Brauer (San Francisco) 33 36. Alison Willingmyre (Penn State) 31 37. Purity Sanga (Tennessee Tech) 28 38. Lilli Burdon (Oregon) 26 39. Brenda Kigen (Auburn) 23 40. Paige Gilchrist (Northern Arizona) 23 41. Shelby Brown (Ole Miss) 22 42. Christine Bendzinski (Bucknell) 22 43. Brianna Ilarda (Providence) 21 44. Jamie Morrissey (Michigan) 21 45. Alexandra Lucki (Maryland) 21 46. Aubrey Roberts (Northwestern) 19 47. Gabrielle Forrest (Princeton) 19 48. Alexandria Hackett (Abilene Christian) 19 49. Laura Young (BYU) 18 50. Dominique Clairmonte (North Carolina St.) 18 51. Bethany Hasz (Minnesota) 17 52. Anna West (Baylor) 15 53. Heather MacLean (UMass Amherst) 14 54. Therese Haiss (Arkansas) 14 55. Maggie Farrell (Michigan State) 13 56. Charlotte Imer (Eastern Kentucky) 13 57. Egle Morenaite (Iona) 12 58. Bethlehem Taye (North Carolina St.) 11 59. Eden Meyer (North Florida) 10 60. Shannon Malone (Syracuse) 10 61. Greta Lindsley (Penn State) 10 62. Danae Rivers (Penn State) 9 63. Cailie Logue (Iowa State) 8 64. Jordann McDermitt (Eastern Michigan) 7 65. Jenica Dodge (Idaho State) 7 66. Dorcas Wasike (Louisville) 7 67. Jeralyn Poe (Michigan State) 6 68. Jaci Smith (Air Force) 6 69. Erin Gregoire (Columbia) 5 70. Megan Hasz (Minnesota) 5 71. Martha MacDonald (Georgetown) 5 72. Frances Schmiede (Virginia) 4 73. Jillian Hunsberger (Penn State) 3 74. Lindsey Bradley (Baylor) 3 75. Elly Henes (North Carolina St.) 3 76. Madeline Strandemo (Minnesota) 2 77. Michaela Hackett (Abilene Christian) 2 78. Hannah Miller (SMU) 2
LetsRun.com Women’s NCAA Picks
Ednah Kurgat 48.1 %
Karissa Schweizer 30.6 %
Elinor Purrier 8.9 %
Allie Ostrander 4.3 %
Dani Jones 3.4 %
Charlotte Taylor 1.6 %
Katie Rainsberger 0.9 %
Alice Wright 0.4 %
Samantha Drop 0.2 %
Grayson Murphy 0.2 %
Others 1.3 %

LRC Comment: Kurgat is your favorite.


Advertisement


Never miss running news.

Sent once a week or when breaking news breaks.
(We don't spam or sell our list)