sbeefyk2 wrote:
LetsRun.com wrote:
"Sydney will replace Nanjing, China, for the AFC's (Asian Football Confederation's) Feb. 3-7 Olympic qualifying tournament, which had already been moved from Wuhan, the city at the center of the crisis, which remains in lockdown."
Admittedly, World Indoors is 5 weeks later in Nanjing (March 13-15) so there is still some time before a decision has to be made but what the the odds that World Indoors gets moved? Does anyone know how these diseases normally play out? Would they still be a thing 2 months from now.
Think of this as a less dangerous version of the flu. A few years ago the flu killed 80,000 in the US. Though the average is about 36,000 deaths per years. I think these numbers put the coronavirus into perspective. Could the coronavirus grow to be worse than the flu? Only time will tell.
I think I understand what you're saying, but it needs to be said differently.
The way I'd say it is "the n2019 outbreak might be a much less significant outbreak than a typical flu season". That's true.
The virus itself is clearly more dangerous. Ro estimates are around 1.5 - 2.5, which is on par with the flu. However, it causes noticeably more severe illness, and is currently killing at a rate of at least 3-4%, and of 2800 currently infected, 300+ are critical, e.g. battling for their life with severe illness.
SARS too was much more dangerous than the flu. We were able to get on top of it though and stop the spread. We dont do the same for garden variety influenze because it kills around 0.1%, primarily in those already sickly.