2019 girls Foot Locker predictions and discussion!

Definitely think Masciarelli will step it up after her recent defeat. She seemed to have an off day.

Yeah it'll be interesting to see how Hart and starliper do with the double

I think it might be starlipers year she seems to be running really well!

Congrats to all but Starliper seemed so thrilled to be back as champion of Northeast Regionals for FL.

Appleton dropped down to 6th after recent incredible victory at Mayor's Cup over Masciarelli. Masciarelli seemed really not happy with her race but trying to remain positive. She has had two defeats this year at Mayor's Cup and here at FL Regionals that must be a challenge. We shall see she can shrug it off and defend her title.

Vanderkooi had an impressive win, Dudek has been running well but I think running the week after Europe is going to be tough. Other than Masciarelli who else isn’t doubling with nxn?

I think it’s weird masciarelli said that she hasn’t been doing as much because the other girls on her team can’t handle the training or amount of miles she can... these other top girls obviously run more than the others on their team. It’s not hard to do 8 repeats while the others do 6 or run a few more miles so I just found that to be an odd excuse. She said now that she’s running with her brother she can get some better training in so we’ll see how that helps.

Starliper is looking strong and I would expect her to do well also.

Vanderkoi turned down NXN.

Vanderkooi looked great but those 4 were so far out in front I wonder how hard the 3 seniors behind her who are racing next week really pressed the last mile of the race. Those 4 were spots were decided 1 mile in.

I watched Starliper win the Pennsylvania H.S. Championship race on a nasty course in 17:10.

She looked like she was out for a Sunday jog.

Foot Locker looks like:

Starliper

Masciarelli

Dudek

Vanderkooi

Hart

Ewert

David

Appleton

plus West qualifiers ???

NXN has:

Tuohy

Starliper

Walters

Thorwaldson

Hart

Rauber

Ewert

David

Dorostkar

Smith

NXN Race

My guess based on their styles and recent performances is that David and Thorvaldson will go out fast with Tuohy.

The chase pack will be Walters, Hart, Rauber, and Ewert.

I'm intrigued what Starliper will do. Based on her season, she has the highest upside but will she risk staying early with Tuohy, or go conservative with the chasers?

Someone a little under the radar will have a strong performance. I'm looking to Cali's Dorostkar and Smith to outperform.

Predicted Results -

Tuohy

Starliper

Rauber

Thorvaldson

Hart

Walters

Dorostkar

Ewert

Smith

David

Team - there's really nothing to differentiate the top 3. Since I'm NY guy let's go Saratoga, F-M, Summit

Hart said in an interview that she really just wanted to qualify (implying that she wasn't too interested in attempting to win).

I agree with your thinking....very interested to see if Thorvaldson/Starliper try to run with her. While I do believe that Starliper has the best chance of staying with her for a while, I doubt that she does it knowing that FL is the following week and she has a strong chance of winning.

The only real change to your list would be Walters...she has run well. I don't see Rauber beating her.

If I were a betting man:

Tuohy (likely by 30ish) - I don't believe she has run a hard race all season, just getting her W's and moving on. I would expect her to put on a bit of a show in her last HS XC run

Starliper

Thorvaldson

Walters/Hart/ Ewert

Rauber

David

Dorostkar

Smith

Jedsdead wrote:

I agree with your thinking....very interested to see if Thorvaldson/Starliper try to run with her. While I do believe that Starliper has the best chance of staying with her for a while, I doubt that she does it knowing that FL is the following week and she has a strong chance of winning.

The only real change to your list would be Walters...she has run well. I don't see Rauber beating her.

If I were a betting man:

Tuohy (likely by 30ish) - I don't believe she has run a hard race all season, just getting her W's and moving on. I would expect her to put on a bit of a show in her last HS XC run

Starliper

Thorvaldson

Walters/Hart/ Ewert

Rauber

David

Dorostkar

Smith

Tuohy ran hard at Manhattan, but that was early and she was not in top shape. I think Starliper is going to NXN to take on Tuohy. She already beat Masciarelli. If she tries and fails and it hurts her in SD, so be it. I can't see her running for 2nd and conceding the win to anyone. I also think Thorvaldson will try to hang in there as well. She has never been one to back off voluntarily. She ran real well against Tuohy and Hart in the NBI 2 mile last March. I hope they do, and will be interested in how Tuohy handles having someone with her through at least 3K.

Here are the top girls ranked by their best speed rating

and where they are competing (N = NXN, F = FLN)

170 - N - - - Katelyn Tuohy

163 - N-F - Marlee Starliper

161 - N - - - Claire Walters

160 - N - - - Sydney Thorvaldson

160 - - - F - Zofia Dudek

160 - - - F - Abby Vanderkooi

159 - N-F - Katelynne Hart

158 - - - F - Sydney Masciarelli

158 - N-F - Taylor Ewert

157 - N - - - Brynn Brown

157 - N - - - Brooke Rauber

156 - N - - - Carlie Dorostkar

155 - N - - - Fiona Max

155 - - - F - Jenna Hutchins

155 - - - F - Ava Dobson

154 - N - - - Kate Peters

154 - N - - - Allie Janke

153 - N - - - Corie Smith

153 - - - F - Carly McNatt

153 - N-F - Tatum David

153 - - - F - Kate Wiser

152 - N - - - Sasha Neglia

152 - - - F - Karrie Baloga

152 - - - F - Bethany Graham

152 - N - - - Athena Young

Three more 152s

152 - N - - - Jenna Schulz

152 - N-F - - Riley Stewart

152 - N - - - Alexandra Klos

last year 152 got you 7th place, looks like that might not happen this year

Starliper is my bet. Starliper has the potential to win footlocker for sure. The one problem with Marlee is that she never preformed up to her potential at these types of huge meets before. Starliper is extremely fit this year I watched her take down the PA state record twice and both times she was not going all out. She ran a 16:30 with hardly any training not going all out. I think with her going into her senior season with multiple national championships under her belt she will be ready.

I am very excited to see how Starliper takes on the NXN course, she is definitely prepared for the conditions her only downside is she never ran it before. I wouldn’t be surprised if she went out with Touhy, it will be interesting since they probably have the most speed.

I wonder how Touhy will attack NXN this year. In the past she went out way too fast and died at the end. However she may be fit enough for that pace this year. I hope she does not get psyched out if other girls try to stick with her.

yea, especially last year her first 1,000 was too fast, but despite slowing she still was the fastest in the field for each mile (1st mile 5:04.5, 2nd mile 5:27, and 3rd mile 5:31). Kelsey Chmiel was almost as fast for the 2nd and 3rd miles.

fL wrote:

I think it’s weird masciarelli said that she hasn’t been doing as much because the other girls on her team can’t handle the training or amount of miles she can... these other top girls obviously run more than the others on their team. It’s not hard to do 8 repeats while the others do 6 or run a few more miles so I just found that to be an odd excuse. She said now that she’s running with her brother she can get some better training in so we’ll see how that helps.

I found that a little strange too Because I just figured she would run with the boys, is she the best runner at her school for boys as well? There was never any problems when I ran if someone was better then the rest. They would simply run more intervals and do more mileage then the rest (and because they were good it didn’t take them much longer then the team). My only thought is her coach was holding her back so she didn’t overdo it.

Got to say I agree with you...she went out a bit faster than she wanted, but hard to say she died in the end when all of her splits were as fast or faster than anyone one else.