Or will someone like like Laura Muir ( ran 3:58 last month in Stockholm and clocked a 58.5 final lap to win the 800 at last week's British champs), Sifan Hassan (fastest pb in the field at 3:56.05) or Ethiopia's Gudaf Tsegay (3:57.64 this year) have the edge?
XXY > XX
Caster Semenya and her extra testosterone fueled muscle mass body for the win!
Semenya, because Houlihan is a sit and kick runner, so she will not take it out fast like the runners did to Semenya at the
World Championship. Got it take it out fast so it does not come down to Semenya's 50 second 400m speed.
Sifan, Muir, Kipyegon, basically all the women in that 1500m race agreed to push the pace hard in that race to get rid of Semenya. ...and it worked, even though muir and sifan had to sacrifice themselves.
Is this a rhetorical question?
The first finisher in this women's race will be a guy.
I predict the guy will "win" the overall race.
And one of the women will win the women's division.
Sifan Hassan does not have the fastest PR in the field. That honor belongs to Laura Muir who ran 3:55.22 in 2016.
Is there a rabbit? That could make things harder for Hassan & Semenya.
I really don't know wrote:
Is there a rabbit? That could make things harder for Hassan & Semenya.
Make that: make things harder for Houlihan and Semenya.
While all the "big names" are fighting it out it's Arafi FTW, and not looking relaxed.
internal penis for the win !
Gravy wrote:
Is this a rhetorical question?
Do you know what rhetorical means?
Caster just ran a solo 1:54...she obviously has the edge. Just on another (testosterone) level than all of the women in the field.
If she would have been in the 3:50 race with Dibaba . Well the wr wouldn't be 350.
But since that time I doubt she would still be competing either.
I am not sure anyone but a few select actually know how fast she truly can go.
Not even Shelby sub 58 is strong enough .
It's easy to say that Semenya will dominate everyone like she does in the 800 because of her condition, but if you simply look at her accomplishments over 1500 compared to the rest of the field and assume she hasn't been sandbagging, she probably isn't the favorite. Then again, she's relatively new to the event and obviously has the greatest potential of anyone. But this is gonna be a fascinating race. Any of Semenya, Houlihan, Hassan, Muir, or Tsegay have a real shot at winning this. Semenya and Houlihan will have the same tactic of hanging onto the back of the pack and trying to steal the win in the last 100. However, Tsegay ran 3:57 after going out in 60 flat, and I expect her to try something similar here to drop the two big kickers. But then you have Hassan who dominated the circuit last year, and Muir, who is likely the legit world record holder if clean. Really tough to make a prediction, but I think the pace will be fast enough to drop Semenya who won't be used to coming under that sort of pressure. However, Houlihan will have just enough to hold on, and she'll steal it over Tsegay at the line. I can't wait to see this one.
If Jenny can beat Caster and Shelby can beat Jenny.. I'm giving Shelby at least a 40 percent chance of winning
osm wrote:
and Muir, who is likely the legit world record holder if clean. Really tough to make a prediction
Muir is not going to run 3:49. Your prediction is way off.
In my estimation - wrote:
osm wrote:
and Muir, who is likely the legit world record holder if clean. Really tough to make a prediction
Muir is not going to run 3:49. Your prediction is way off.
I generally hate the 'fastest western white woman is the only one who's clean' game, but Dibaba hasn't touched her world record form since her coach got busted with EPO, and everyone else ahead of Muir was a Chinese/Eastern European lab experiment. I don't think Muir wins this one, but my point was that she's so good at her best that you can't count her out of any race she enters.
I hope all the real women beat Muir, and that Semenya drops out.