List of Abnormal Results by Country - Russia 415, Morocco 82, Kenya 77, USA 32, Britain 12

In 2012, aside from the sprints, some races that really stand out, of course, are the women's 800m, with Poistogova and Savinova, named in the Seppelt program, and Semenya, who has her own exception; the women's 1500m with the two Turkish runners, Cakir and Bulut, plus Jamal of Bahrain, who has not been suspected before; the men's 1500m with Makh Daddy of Algeria and Iguider of Morocco, as well as Manzano for silver.

Here are the men's endurance medalists:

Men's 800m

David Lekuta RUDISHA KEN 1:40.91

Nijel AMOS BOT 1:41.73

Timothy KITUM KEN 1:42.53

Men's 1500m

Taoufik MAKHLOUFI ALG 3:34.08

Leonel MANZANO USA 3:34.79

Abdalaati IGUIDER MAR 3:35.13

Men's 3000m Steeplechase

Ezekiel KEMBOI KEN 8:18.56

Mahiedine MEKHISSI-BENABBAD FRA 8:19.08

Abel Kiprop MUTAI KEN 8:19.73

Men's 5000m

Mo FARAH GBR 13:41.66

Dejen GEBREMESKEL ETH 13:41.98

Thomas Pkemei LONGOSIWA KEN 13:42.36

Men's 20km Walk

Ding CHEN CHN 1:18:46

Erick BARRONDO GUA 1:18:57

Zhen WANG CHN 1:19:25

Full results

Men's 50km Walk

Sergey KIRDYAPKIN RUS 3:35:59

Jared TALLENT AUS 3:36:53

Tianfeng SI CHN 3:37:16

Full results

Men's Marathon

Stephen KIPROTICH UGA 2:08:01

Abel KIRUI KEN 2:08:27

Wilson Kipsang KIPROTICH KEN 2:09:37

Full results

Men's 10000m

Mo FARAH GBR 27:30.42

Galen RUPP USA 27:30.90

Tariku BEKELE ETH 27:31.43

Another reason to take walking out of the Olympics.

Sue for what? This is nonsense. They will get nowhere. juristiction?

(Jeter won silver and bronze in the 100/200).

Here are the women's endurance medalists in London, plus a few other results with Russian medalists, and another race with a UK runner who may or may not be the one they mean. They said 10 medalists in the distances were suspect. Note that this is only based on blood values and does not take account of steroids or other forms of doping at all.

If you take the men's 50k walk gold medalist from Russia, Savinova and Poistogova from the women's 800m, Cakir (positives) and Bulut (spectacular improvement) from Turkey in the women's 1500m, Zaripova, the gold medalist, in the women's steeple, maybe Antyukh, gold medalist in the 400mH, plus Lashminova and Kaniskina, gold and silver, from the women's 20k walk, and Arkhipova, bronze in the women's marathon, then you already get ten medalists that might be suspect, since 80% of the Russian blood values were highly suspicious and the two Turks are clear dopers--the one with two doping positives (two year suspension in 2004 and blood passport lifetime suspension pursued from 2012

http://www.runnersworld.com/newswire/turkeys-olympic-champions-drug-ban-is-reinstated

) and the other associated with her and completely off the charts in improvement.

Women's 400m

Sanya RICHARDS-ROSS USA 49.55

Christine OHURUOGU GBR 49.70

Deedee TROTTER USA 49.72

Women's 800m

Mariya SAVINOVA RUS 1:56.19

Caster SEMENYA RSA 1:57.23

Ekaterina POISTOGOVA RUS 1:57.53

Women's 1500m

Asli CAKIR ALPTEKIN TUR 4:10.23

Gamze BULUT TUR 4:10.40

Maryam yusuf JAMAL BRN 4:10.74

Women's 3000m Steeplechase

Yuliya ZARIPOVA RUS 9:06.72

Habiba GHRIBI TUN 9:08.37

Sofia ASSEFA ETH 9:09.84

Women's 400m Hurdles

Natalya ANTYUKH RUS 52.70

Lashinda DEMUS USA 52.77

Zuzana HEJNOVA CZE 53.38

Women's 5000m

Meseret DEFAR ETH 15:04.25

Vivian CHERUIYOT KEN 15:04.73

Tirunesh DIBABA ETH 15:05.15

Women's Shot Put

Valerie ADAMS NZL 20.70

Evgeniia KOLODKO RUS 20.48

Lijiao GONG CHN 20.22

Women's Discus Throw

Sandra PERKOVIC CRO 69.11

Darya PISHCHALNIKOVA RUS 67.56

Yanfeng LI CHN 67.22

Women's Hammer Throw

Tatyana LYSENKO RUS 78.18

Anita WLODARCZYK POL 77.60

Betty HEIDLER GER 77.13

Women's Long Jump

Brittney REESE USA 7.12

Elena SOKOLOVA RUS 7.07

Janay DELOACH USA 6.89

Women's Triple Jump

Olga RYPAKOVA KAZ 14.98

Caterine IBARGUEN COL 14.80

Olga SALADUKHA UKR 14.79

Women's High Jump

Anna CHICHEROVA RUS 2.05

Brigetta BARRETT USA 2.03

Svetlana SHKOLINA RUS 2.03

Full results

Women's 20km Race Walk

Elena LASHMANOVA RUS 1:25:02

Olga KANISKINA RUS 1:25:09

Shenjie QIEYANG CHN 1:25:16

Women's Marathon

Tiki GELANA ETH 2:23:07

Priscah JEPTOO KEN 2:23:12

Tatyana PETROVA ARKHIPOVA RUS 2:23:29

Women's 10000m

Tirunesh DIBABA ETH 30:20.75

Sally Jepkosgei KIPYEGO KEN 30:26.37

Vivian CHERUIYOT KEN 30:30.44

Women's Heptathlon

Jessica ENNIS GBR 6955

Lilli SCHWARZKOPF GER 6649

Tatyana CHERNOVA RUS 6628

1/1000 chance of being natural? This is what confuses me. What is considered natural? An average person that goes bowling once a month and eats a lot of pizza? What happens when you train at 8000-9000ft altitude for 10 years, and you are extremely talented and biologically gifted, on top of the unreal amount of endurance work you put in at such a high elevation? I'd bet your blood would look a bit unnatural compared to your average person.

So what exactly is "natural" for an athlete training at altitude for 10 years, being very talented and gifted, and putting an insane amount of training in? So what these results say is that AFTER all that has been factored in, there is only one chance in ONE THOUSAND that the athlete is clean? (just trying to understand)

Wow - Russia and Ukraine really really distort the drug bust numbers. They are 60% of the suspicious athletes.

Actually, if you take those two outliers out, you'd have less than 8% athletes out of 5000 suspicious. That's actually quite low.

The singled out athlete is clearly Paula. But I believe that she just got unlucky and that a 1 in 10,000 event of bad luck happened to her...because Wejo swore she was clean.

Everyone trains at altitude. How do her values get so drastically higher than everyone else's?

Analyzed the data and normalized based on geographical size and population size. Interestingly enough, based on the data given, the US has the least suspicious results per square kilometer and per individual.

Abnormal blood results by geographical size

Country Name Abnormal Results Size (km2) Normalized value(results/km2)

Portugal 32 92090 0.000347486

Greece 42 131990 0.000318206

Belarus 42 207600 0.000202312

Morocco 82 446550 0.000183630

Ukraine 102 603500 0.000169014

Spain 81 505992 0.000160082

Romania 32 238391 0.000134233

Kenya 77 580367 0.000132675

Turkey 52 783562 0.000066364

Britain 12 242900 0.000049403

Russia 415 17098242 0.000024272

USA 32 9826675 0.000003256

Abnormal blood results per capita (2014)

Country Name Abnormal Results Population Size Normalized Result(Results/Person)

Belarus 42 9307609 0.000004512

Greece 42 11128404 0.000003774

Portugal 32 10610304 0.000003016

Russia 415 142467651 0.000002913

Morocco 82 33492909 0.000002448

Ukraine 102 44941303 0.000002270

Spain 81 47066402 0.000001721

Kenya 77 45545980 0.000001691

Romania 32 21640168 0.000001479

Turkey 52 75837020 0.000000686

Britain 12 63489234 0.000000189

USA 32 322583006 0.000000099

Wejo, you mentioned IAAF panel results (which are clearly about Paula's blood values). If 11 of 12 experts claim her ridiculously high values could come from altitude training, then every athlete could use that same excuse, since Paula's values were so extreme. Interesting that you chose to note that.

Do we have any stats or the number of tests by country? I would like to know how often Kenyan athletes are being tested compared to other countries.

You often hear people saying that it's a free for all for the athletes when they return to Kenya, all the drugs they want and little or no testing.

Interesting, there was a poster a few weeks ago claiming that Paula was making threats via her lawyer. The brojos were given an opportunity to refute it and they never did.

That's because it doesn't include steroids and other strength-enhancing drugs (U.S. sprinters).

That said, the U.S. is certainly far cleaner for endurance athletes than most of the other countries on the list, just from the opportunity/desperation ratio alone. The gaping hole here is Ethiopia. No suspicious results?

These stats are meaningless.

I'd like to see abnormal results per test or per number of professional athletes in that country

looks like english and americans are being let known advanced details

Dr F wrote:

These stats are meaningless.

I'd like to see abnormal results per test or per number of professional athletes in that country

And suspicious blood values would tend to be avoided by those with sophisticated drug protocols and their own testing, like that of Nike's own lab.

So Ethiopia isn't EPOpia after all?

is this right? wrote:

1/1000 chance of being natural? This is what confuses me. What is considered natural?

In a pool of blood scores, natural athlete scores will create a large pool of similar data. Bayesian statistics is brutally effective at targeting outliers to this pool of data.

Read the WADA standards. It's all there.

is this right? wrote:

1/1000 chance of being natural? This is what confuses me. What is considered natural? An average person that goes bowling once a month and eats a lot of pizza? What happens when you train at 8000-9000ft altitude for 10 years, and you are extremely talented and biologically gifted, on top of the unreal amount of endurance work you put in at such a high elevation? I'd bet your blood would look a bit unnatural compared to your average person.

So what exactly is "natural" for an athlete training at altitude for 10 years, being very talented and gifted, and putting an insane amount of training in? So what these results say is that AFTER all that has been factored in, there is only one chance in ONE THOUSAND that the athlete is clean? (just trying to understand)

The biopassport system measures a few things: the number of new blood cells, and their percentage of blood, red blood cell count, hemoglobin mass, hematocrit.

"Natural" is well understood: certain values fluctuate in known ways according to stresses and environment.

Among them:

-go to altitude, new blood cell count rises.

-go to altitude, hgb mass goes up, both as a result of the body's adaptation to altitude.

-intense racing schedule, hematocrit goes down due to blood volume expansion

EPO and Blood transfusions also manipulate the blood in known ways. They manipulate the blood in ways that are not possible without certain environment/stress factors:

-a sea-level increase in new blood cells: can't happen unless EPO is introduced into the body.

-an altitude adapted athlete (been there for 25 years) suddenly increasing their new blood cells; can't happen unless EPO was introduced in the body.

-Hematocrit rising during the course of an intense season: can only happen if new blood is being introduced by a transfusion or EPO-induced blood production.

So, to answer your question: "natural" processes are well understood, as well as unnatural process's effects on blood. The Off-Score the data refers to is a number reflecting how far off real changes in their blood value are compared to expected changes. So, when an athletes value is given a "suspicious" label, it means that a certain parameter changed in a way that is not possible naturally, with a 1000:1 assurance that it was changed by doping.

Singled out wrote:

Wejo, you mentioned IAAF panel results (which are clearly about Paula's blood values). If 11 of 12 experts claim her ridiculously high values could come from altitude training, then every athlete could use that same excuse, since Paula's values were so extreme. Interesting that you chose to note that.