Going with rabbit 15:00 or 14:30

I think your estimate is correct: you look like you're heading for about a 14:45 or slightly better. 14:30 sounds a little quick, though. Seriously though, who gets a pacer for this sort of 5k? If you have this spoiled treatment, float a little behind the 14:30 guy in the early going and hang tough in the last 2k.

Depends how you normally run your best 5k races. Do you negative split?

3:00-3:00-3:00-2:55-2:50 leads to 14:45

2:57-2:57-2:57-2:57-2:57 leads to 14:45

2:54-2:54-2:58-3:01-2:58 leads to 14:45

From myself I know that I can run the last k around 10 seconds faster than my average for race.

So 3:10-3:10-3:10-3:10-3:00

Hang as far back on the 14:30 train as you can.

If you don't try, you won't know.

Are both rabbits running the whole race?

If not, stay with the 14:30 rabbit as long as you can.

Go with the 15:00 group until 3k, then drop the hammer.

Any dufus can go out too fast only to go down in flames, which almost always happens in every race.

Once you go out conservatively, then close hard, everything changes.

The rabbits are both trying too run as far as they can.

They won't run the entire race, but there will be enought competition. A few guys with 14:30 PB's.

Normally i run even splits the entire race, with a 400 kick at the end.

Have PB's off

3:54 = 1500m

This year i ran my 1500 PB 62 - 63 - 63 - 46

8:31

2:48 - 2:53 - 2:50

and a 8:35 with a 63 last lap.

15:00 ( 5k road )2:50 first 1k

14:48 5000m track

31:12 10k (road)

This year i ran my 1500 PB 62 - 63 - 63 - 46

Also ran a 5000 in competition three weeks ago with laps off.

67 - 70 - 72 - 72 - 73 - 73 - 72 - 73 - 72 - 72 - 71 - 69 - 33

2:53 - 3:01 - 3:02 - 3:00 - 2:53 = 14:53

Hope this helps

Ran the race yesterday.

Went very good.

1k was 2:54

2k 2:55 ( 5:49 )

3k 2:59 ( 8:48 )

after 2.4k stopped following the rabbit

4k 2:56 ( 11:44 )

5k 2:51 ( 14:35 ) last lap 64/65

Happy about how the race played out.

Congratulations. I was interested to see how this turned out. I'm glad it went well for you.