Where did they go? wrote:
Of course it makes sense. The rest of the lead pack underestimated an old guy whose with a slower PR who last finished the NYCM in 2:23. You don't chase a recent 2:23 guy and they figured Meb would come back to them. If Kimetto or Deisisa had gone, the other top guys would would have gone with them. They didn't give Meb the respect he deserved and it cost the.
This would make sense if Meb picked up the pace or put in a surge. The point being made is that Meb was running a steady effort and the pack of elites decided to slow down before halfway while running a pace that the majority of them should have been able to hold for several more miles.
Actually, Meb did surge from 20k to 30k.
5k 15:09 15:11
10k 15:20 15:20
15k 15:18 15:27
20k 15:18 15:40
25k 14:55 15:20
30k 15:10 15:33
35k 15:27 14:57
40k 15:12 14:29
42.2k 6:48 6:51
Chebet started cranking after 30k, but at that point he was 81 seconds behind Meb, and trying to make up time over heartbreak hill. It looked to me as if that little dip and rise through the underpass with 1000m to go did Chebet in.
I'm not convinced that the rest of the pack underrated Mab as much as others think. Most of the major marathons now unfold like track races; everyone rolls along until 30k or so, then someone starts to hammer and the race is on, not unlike a track race. So the pack collectively figured that they would run Meb down.
But Boston is different, and Meb ran a great race for that course. It was as if he asked himself WWBD, or maybe he actually asked Bill.