2013 LONDON MARATHON: Predict Tirunesh Dibaba placing and debut time, how close can you get?

2:35

1st in 2:18:41

1st 2:17:30

1st place in 2:16.58

by 2020 the top 5-10 women in big time trial races with loaded fields london, chicago, will all be under 2:20, gelena has run 2:18, melkamu ran 2:21 in her debut so her goal has to be under 2:20 and tirunesh dibaba is better than both of them.

a little concerned that she often holds her side because of side stitches, but has been able to win in 10000 a side stitch would be harder in a marathon, but no side stitches and she will be great in the marathon.

now who will be the best marathoner out of v. cheruiyiot, t, dibaba or defar? will be interesting to see.

radcliffes 2:15.25 WILL NOT last to 2020 and the 3 i mentioned will all run 2:15 eventually.

i meant under 2:15 for t. dibaba, v. cheruiyiot and defar, eventually, and eventually meaning before 2020.

vipam, since you asked the question what time and place do you pick for t. dibaba in london, you always have very good, insightful and interesting opinions.

yeah right dubai and osaka this year were so far off from 2:15:25 and tirunesh will be off of 2:15:25 for sure.

Tirunesh I think 2:19:12 london marathon but that not even close to 2:15:25

2:15:25 is a fake as* record. I dont even count it.

2:12:59!

Vivian run so little 10k race. How the fuc* she running a marathon? Tirunesh runs more 10k 15k half marathon than Vivain.

Douglas

Tirunesh problem with side stitches make it difficult to predict her performance. I will say that I think if she stays totally healthy she could break Paula Radcliffe's 2:15:25. If Tiruesh were to stay healthy before she turns 30 she could run AT LEAST:

5000m......sub 14:15 approach her WR

10000m.....29:28.5

1/2........1:05:38

Marathon...2:14:28

I don't expect her to run all those times but she could run any of them if she focused on them for the next 3 years.

What do I expect her to run in her London debut?

1) 2:17:58 with no side stitches and good weather

dnf if she have problems with her side

2nd in 2:20:13