LetsRun.com wrote:
We thought about not putting up the headline as we figured some of the politically correct police would be upset by it but we went with it for a simple reason - it's exactly what we thought.
We found an article talking about whether a 12-year sprinter was going to be the next world record holder.
We then clicked on the article and found out he was white.
That was surprising.
You say it is not fact based. It is fact based.
89 people in history have broken 10.00 for the 100 meters.
1 of 89 is white.
That's 1.1%.
We don't see what is wrong with the post. There is lots of data indicating that it's extremely unlikely the next great sprinter will be white.
Okay, let's look at the math. There have been approximately 110 billion people who have lived since the beginning of time. 89 of them have broken 10.00 for 100m. Only 1 of them is white. They all are male. About 20% of people all time are white.
So, 1 white male out of all 11 billion that have lived in history has broken 10.0. That is 0.000009%.
And, 88 non-white males out of all 44 billion that have lived in history has broken 10.0. That is 0.0002%.
Yes, if you do the math a white person has 4.5 times the probability of running a sub 10.0 100m than a non-white person.
Those are the facts... if all you know is that a male has been born, you'd be better off betting on the white one to break 10.0.
Of course the real point is only 89 people have ever done it, and any kid's odds are effectively zero. Showing some promise at age 12 ups them, but his odds are still really, really low. There are many, many reasons to think that this 12 year old kid will not be the next Usain Bolt. The color of his skin is far down the list of probable reasons why.
What strikes me is that the FIRST thing the owners of this site noticed was the color of the kid's skin. That should tell you something about them.
I stand behind my comment that no responsible, credible journalist would have written that line.