Real competitors don't set out to be the best they can be, they set out to win.
Winning means that you must be better than everybody else in the race.
That can be accomplished in one of 2 ways, or by a combination of both:
1) everybody can become worse than you, or
2) you can become better than everybody else.
If you get beaten consistently, you must try to get faster. You do that by changing something, by improving various areas, especially where there appears to be low-hanging fruit.
Collins is fantastic, with his 9.98 PR.
But even a 9.98 fades into relative obscurity when guys are running 9.8
He must improve something to get faster--the question is What?
Turnover? No, it's great.
Contact time? No, it's great.
Early acceleration? No, it's great.
Late acceleration? No, it's pretty good.
Finishing lean? No, it's great.
Reaction time? No, it's consistently good.
Block work? Maybe a bit.
Transition? Yes, tied to final stride.
Final stride? Yes, it's the obvious relative weakness.
In 2003, Collins may have benefitted from way #1.
In 2011, Collins will need to produce way #2.
Further, I think that the fastest natural guys will run around 10-flat WITH NO REAL COACHING.
That is, no real COACHING, as opposed to TRAINING.
I think excellent coaching will take a 10-flat or 9.9's guy into the 9.8's.
Judging by his strengths and weaknesses, I would say that Collins may be receiving inadequate coaching, unless his goal is to win exclusively on the indoor circuit.
Sure, his dedication to the training he does is probably excellent--but is it the right training? That is for the coach to figure out.
You see lots of natural guys like Collins--whip-quick, fast turnover, chopped stride, lightweight, great to 50m, many of whom have no real coaching. For me, his strengths are the hallmark of a natural, and not of anything that was a particular result of coaching.
Coaching teaches what is not inherently natural to a runner. Even the best 100m guys don't just go out there and blast away as hard as they can--they are thinking about what they need to do. The ultimate, that happens rarely, is when they can just rely on their training to have produced a new natural, so that they don't have to think at all.
It is obvious when sprinters fail at this. They know it right away, even before the race is finished. Unfortunately, there is no time to really correct in the 100m. Even before the debriefing by the coach, they know at what they failed.
Like some have said, the 100m requires, seemingly paradoxically, patience--the patience to implement training effects during a race.
To me, it is obvious what Collins needs to change in order to be competitive in the 100m--and I don't see any evidence of that change happening.
But I still love the guy!