Manzano, wheating, Lagat, Lomong, Webb all have legit shots at a medal in 2012 plus a whole slew of other Americans that could be at that level by 2012. Not saying its going to happen or likely to happen but there is a very slight realistic possibility that it could happen. Certainly everyone that makes the team will have a good shot at a medal unless there is a massive upset at the trials (ie. at 3:35 guy makes the team.)