Predict my Half Marathon

69:20

much faster than 69, 66:47-65:59... unless this is your first. Even then, still faster than a 69

I've run 69-low and those aren't workouts I could touch at that time or now when I'm in better shape. The 10k seems slow for that kind of fitness, but I predict 67:11.

According to the 10k time you provided, which is already outdated, you should be able to race this half marathon in 1:08:29 or faster. If you are a workout hero, who races in practice and calls it a "tempo", you may race this half as slow as 1:09 - 1:10. If you are the type to train conservatively and bring amazing gameday skills to your races, you may run as fast as 1:06:15.

I'm going to assume that you know what you're doing and that you're not a headcase in races. My prediction is 1:07:22.

Good conditions, fast course, other good runners to pace you, 65 low. Seems like you get in a pretty good grove close to 5 min. Add in some race day adrenaline and you may have a shot at 65.

Thanks for the input - this honestly is what I had in mind.

I do know what I'm doing, and I don't race my tempos. That 10 miler was out in 26:50, back in 26:03, and I felt like I could have kept going for several more miles without getting too uncomfortable.

Historically at my race there is a pack of 5 or 6 that goes out at 30:30 through 10k, finishes between 64:30-66:00, and then a huge no-man's land until 70 or so. As long as it's cool (and it is a flat course, too), my plan is to go with this group and just try to hang as long as possible.

Hope you reach your goal. And let us know afterward.

68:30

Maybe faster, but all i got to go off is a 31 10k, tempos can be any effort, so its hard to judge.

1/2 Mary

1:08 +/- 20 seconds.

1:08

How long do you w/up on the eight mile tempo and your 10 x one workout? Thank you

68:30 +/- 30

I've run the 10*mile workout with a slightly faster average and found it NOT to be a good marker to gauge a half on. The longer tempo's are a better predictor. 8-10 miles. Think about cutting back on your long runs and running them slower too. 18 should be good enough. Good luck with your race.

I've run 1:05

67:53

Not quite what I was shooting for, but I was by myself completely after the first mile.

It was a good learning experience - I feel like I'm starting to get more of a feel for racing the half.

Still a good time. What race was this anyway?

I'll guess 67:51.

good guesser wrote:

I'll guess 67:51.

5/10

(I wish I could run sub 68 for a half.)

Really?? wrote:

Still a good time. What race was this anyway?

Outer Banks Half Marathon

GOML wrote:

67:53

Not quite what I was shooting for, but I was by myself completely after the first mile.

It was a good learning experience - I feel like I'm starting to get more of a feel for racing the half.

My prediction of 1:07:22 was only 29 seconds off. I win.