2007 predictions for USA distance running

I think Bret Schoolmeester with Salazar in Oregon will surprise some people.

This thread has already been done, but I'll give mine anyway.

1500- Lagat-3:29

Webb-3:29-30

Luckezik-3:31

5,000-Lagat-12:53

Teg-12:55-57

Goucher-13:04

Solinsky-13:10

Webb-13:00

10,000-Hall, Ritz, Abdi, and Jorge will all come very close to the AR, one of them will probly break it. Fam will probly take another crack or two at it.

Marathon-Abdi-2:07

Meb-2:08

Ritz-2:08

Culp-2:09

Gilmore-2:10

Sell-2:09

Steeple- Lincoln-8:05

YAWN!

Everything the US does matter more to the world. This is even true of distance running.

Thanks for giving some predictions that might actually happen...........unlike "there will be five americans under 13:00, Webb will set three AR's, Ritz and Rupp will be sub 27:00, etc."

oh, and Lukezic is da man.

Dan Browne

is not gonna beat Ritz, Abdi, or Hall

oh, and like I put in the other thread. If the Pre Classic 2 mile is rabbited well and has a good field, the AR will probly be broken. Most likely by Teg.

Webb will run 3:29 / 3:47. Doubters will be giving grudging props by August.

Ryan Hall will run low 13's, possibly 12:58. Teg will run 13:00. Lagat will hit 12:55.

A new face will emerge in the 800. Who? Don't have the slightest idea. Won't be anyone anybody here expects. We're due.

A 10th grade talent will arise who will beat Webb's HS record in '09.

How the hell can you predict Hall to be faster than Teg in the 5,000? Hall isn't a 5k guy anymore, and even if he was, Teg will wipe the floor with him any day in a 5,000 meter race.

Here are my predictions:

Big stories of the year:

1500m: Webb returns but still can't beat Lagat: 3:29/3:28 bests for the year. Lagat gets 3rd and Webb 5th at the WC.

Steeple: Lincoln goes 8:05 and gets bronze in WC.

5k: Lots of guys running around 13:10, Teg gets a 12:58 but Lagat lead the year for Americans with a 12:52. Fam moves to 5k and takes 3rd at nationals. No American medals at WC at the 5k.

10k: Hall beats Ritz and Abdi at nationals running 27:16. All three make the WC finals but none place higher than 7th.

XC: Best National Championship in a long time. Almost all the top Americans do battle over 12k. Winner: Abdi in a late sprint over Hall and Ritz. Dobson and Teg a close 4th and 5th.

Marathon: In a surprise move Hall runs the trials keeping his nose in it until the final moves late in the race but in the end he comes up short in 5th place. At 35k Abdi makes a strong move breaking away from Meb, Sell, Hall and Ritz. KK is a DNS due to a foot injury.

At the finish 1) Abdi 2) Sell 3) Meb 4) Ritz 5) Hall.

Cabada runs WC marathon placing a respectable 14th place but pays for it fading late in the trials.

Rivalry: Hall vs. Ritz heats up as both fall short of team births at the marathon trials and look to wage war over 10k at the 2008 trials.

Hardly anything exciting will happen. There will be a few PRs, several disappointments, and maybe one AR will go down. However, the field of "contenders" in each event will continue to swell.

The nationals 10k will not go 27:16. Its always gonna be slow and tactical. And if Lagat goes to the WC in the 5k he has a damn good shot at a medal. Seeing how he beat Bekele this year.

Gabe Jennings will break all American records from 1500m to the marathon.

The American record for the 10k will be broken.

Bryan Morseman and Josh Mcdougal in the Marathon will suprise some people.

Dan Browne is back training at full strength and ready to roll again. Don't forget about him next year. His 07 schedule is now posted on his website. If he has this many races planned, he must be ready to run well again. I certainly hope so, Dan deserves it.

Unrated wrote:

How the hell can you predict Hall to be faster than Teg in the 5,000? Hall isn't a 5k guy anymore, and even if he was, Teg will wipe the floor with him any day in a 5,000 meter race.

I agree with the guy who said Hall is on the way up. Hall will easily handle Teg. Teg has reached his full potential. The late developing Hall will trounce him at 5k. No one has said Hall isn't a 5k guy anymore but you.

Hall is now a 10K and up guy. Teg has not reached anywhere near his potential. Hall will tear some ass up at the 10k, but he will not beat Teg in a 5k. Teg will go sub 13 this year, he could very well run 12:55. Hall will not run under 13:10 for 5k, and if he does it will not be faster than 13:05. Dont get me wrong, I want to see him do well, but he will not be better than Teg at 5k.

oh, and I agree that the 10k record will go down. If either the 10k or 5k records are still there at the end of the year I will be very suprised.