Kerr - he will be nearly 30 years old at the next one, similar to Wightman now. It's possible
Jakob - If he remains healthy throughout 2026, and challenges the WR in the 1500m and the mile next year, he'll continue to be a top contender in 2027
Hocker - No. I'll reserve my "hard no" until after I see him run the 5000m. But I'm quite confident that 2025 signifies more than this just being a "down year"
A lot can happen in 2027 though with the landscape seriously changing as 2025 has shown. Laros will continue to improve. Cam Myer's is developing into a great runner on the global stage. P. Koech will only be 20***, don't count out Wanyoni making the transition from the 800m, and god knows who else will show up in 2027 that isn't on anyone's radar yet. Timeless Tim might still be running sub 3:30's still lol
Timeless Tim might still be running sub 3:30's still lol
Tim is over a year younger than Wightman and only 2 years older than Kerr. The mystery is why he declined so quickly after 2019/2020 when he was still only 25.
Who would have thought after Tim's Doha gold that Jake Wightman would have the exact same WC medal haul 6 years later (1 gold and 1 silver)?
Wow, no one could have possibly predicted a week ago that neither three of these guys (Josh, Jakob, or Cole) would win even a medal in the 1500. Cole got dq'd in the semis, Jakob failed to advance, and Josh broke something in his foot in the final.
Wow, no one could have possibly predicted a week ago that neither three of these guys (Josh, Jakob, or Cole) would win even a medal in the 1500. Cole got dq'd in the semis, Jakob failed to advance, and Josh broke something in his foot in the final.
I definitely didn't. a couple days ago someone in one of the "hottest takes" threads claimed that nobody from the 2024 OG games would medal today
Timeless Tim might still be running sub 3:30's still lol
Tim is over a year younger than Wightman and only 2 years older than Kerr. The mystery is why he declined so quickly after 2019/2020 when he was still only 25.
someone else pointed out on another thread "shoutout his consistency: he broke 3:30 every year from 2017 to 2025, the exception 2022 with a 3:30.21 for Commonwealth silver. Nearly unbeatable 2018-2021 on the DL circuit"
Look at the landscape in the 1500m since 2020. it's incredible hard to win a global championship. his ability to run fast and hang in the mix is what has made him timeless
Tim has a gold from 2019 and silvers from 2017 and 2019. Same medal count as Jakob, slightly better than Josh’s rainbow, and still one more silver than Jake’s gold & silver.
Jakob 0% - no kick, by far the worst 800m PR out of the top guys. Would be a miracle if he wins another silver or even bronze.
Hocker 70% - he won this one in my book, the official rigged it. He will likely win one in 2027 or 28 barring injuries, his main opponent would be a mature Laros
Kerr 20% - he would always be a force to be reckoned with, but he doesn't have as much talent as Hocker and Laros, and time is running out for him at 27.
Jakob 0% - no kick, by far the worst 800m PR out of the top guys. Would be a miracle if he wins another silver or even bronze.
Hocker 70% - he won this one in my book, the official rigged it. He will likely win one in 2027 or 28 barring injuries, his main opponent would be a mature Laros
Kerr 20% - he would always be a force to be reckoned with, but he doesn't have as much talent as Hocker and Laros, and time is running out for him at 27.
You can hop off of hocker at any time. Everyone claimed he was a lock for Tokyo. He showed he clearly wasn't and resorted to cheating to try and make the finals.
Jakob is greater than 0%. You'll see that once you decide to stop riding hocker. Jakob is the only 3:26 guy on the scene in the past 10 years. He will be 26/27 in the next two global championships.
Kerr is greater than 20%. Laros won't be the only one in 2027/2028. Wanyoni, P Koech, R Cheruiyot, Cam Meyers, and maybe one or two other guys we don't even know about will show up in 2-3 years and be a serious threat.
Every year for the past 4 years, we have seen that the 1500m is a toss up and there are zero guarantees for who can win a global title
Jakob was tracking to win this year. Everything was clicking, he finished with that crazy 3k world record, he ran European cross country and beat everyone, he went indoors and just went crazy. Had he not been injured he was tracking to have the greatest outdoor season of his career and perhaps one of the greatest in distance running history. That is why everyone was saying a certain race the 5k world record would have been broken. A 3:45 indoors is a 3:42 mile outdoors. This would have just been a year for the record books, Coe 1979 or Rono 1978. If he can stay injury free and he's only just turned 25, he will have opportunities for sure. They key will be to reduce injury. I think he needs a new coach as well. He is too familiar with his brothers. If he bombs out in the 5k, I would say him coming to this championship with that poor level of fitness after not being all the way recovered was a huge mistake and a good coach would have kept him out and instead concentrated on cross country and back to a couple indoor races. With no championships next summer, set that as the summer to go after multiple world records. He needs a new coach!