We have seen from the prelims that the 1500 is a total crapshoot when you don’t have anyone like Yared or Jakob to push the pace, so the 1500 could go to many of the top guys (Lagos, Hocker, Kerr, R Cheruiyot, etc).
The 5K is a lot less random though, as shown by how consistently Jakob can win despite not being able to win the 1500. We now have a fresh and pissed off Hocker going into what we know will be a slow 5K in these conditions; he has a great chance of getting gold.
Hocker ran 13:09 and placed 7th back in June in the race where Almgren solo ran the current world lead of 12:44. He's shown absolutely nothing special that would make him a favorite in the 5000.
Hocker ran 13:09 and placed 7th back in June in the race where Almgren solo ran the current world lead of 12:44. He's shown absolutely nothing special that would make him a favorite in the 5000.
Hocker ran 13:09 and placed 7th back in June in the race where Almgren solo ran the current world lead of 12:44. He's shown absolutely nothing special that would make him a favorite in the 5000.
He out kicked two other favorites (Young, Fisher) at USAs in a race that will be much closer to how Tokyo is than a 12:44 race was
This post was edited 31 seconds after it was posted.
He out kicked two other favorites (Young, Fisher) at USAs in a race that will be much closer to how Tokyo is than a 12:44 race was
That USA's performance by Hocker/Young/Fisher cannot be used as any kind of indication for how they will perform in in Tokyo.
Young,Fisher showed us where they are at from their 10,000m performance. Hocker has shown us where he is at based on his entire 2025 oudoor season. And no, he isn't peaking right now
Hocker ran 13:09 and placed 7th back in June in the race where Almgren solo ran the current world lead of 12:44. He's shown absolutely nothing special that would make him a favorite in the 5000.
sorry, but that's the most stupid post in a while. First, that's in June as you said, second, Hocker later ran 13:26 with a 51 finish to win the USAs. In Tokyo, the winning time would be around that mark, especially considering the weather. Who could've survived a 51 last lap beside Laros? But unlike Hocker, Laros would have a 1500m final on his legs, and he also doesn't have as much endurance as Hocker who ran 7:23 3k this year.
So yeah, Hocker is now the overwhelming favourite in the 5k.
We have seen from the prelims that the 1500 is a total crapshoot when you don’t have anyone like Yared or Jakob to push the pace, so the 1500 could go to many of the top guys (Lagos, Hocker, Kerr, R Cheruiyot, etc).
The 5K is a lot less random though, as shown by how consistently Jakob can win despite not being able to win the 1500. We now have a fresh and pissed off Hocker going into what we know will be a slow 5K in these conditions; he has a great chance of getting gold.
sorry, but that's the most stupid post in a while. First, that's in June as you said, second, Hocker later ran 13:26 with a 51 finish to win the USAs. In Tokyo, the winning time would be around that mark, especially considering the weather. Who could've survived a 51 last lap beside Laros? But unlike Hocker, Laros would have a 1500m final on his legs, and he also doesn't have as much endurance as Hocker who ran 7:23 3k this year.
So yeah, Hocker is now the overwhelming favourite in the 5k.
lol so you topped a stupid post with an even stupider post? Hocker is regressing, everything we have seen from him in 2025 has proved this. He has no business being in the 5000m and this truth will unfold later this week
We have seen from the prelims that the 1500 is a total crapshoot when you don’t have anyone like Yared or Jakob to push the pace, so the 1500 could go to many of the top guys (Lagos, Hocker, Kerr, R Cheruiyot, etc).
The 5K is a lot less random though, as shown by how consistently Jakob can win despite not being able to win the 1500. We now have a fresh and pissed off Hocker going into what we know will be a slow 5K in these conditions; he has a great chance of getting gold.
Two basic assertions:
1) Given the conditions, the race will be slow. Yes, I completely agree with this. Perhaps the most striking feature of the champs so far is how slow the distance races have been. Dew points have been insane and I can’t imagine trying to perform in these conditions.
2) In a slow race, kickers are favored.
I also completely agree with this. Hocker and Laros are both going to do very well in the 5k, I think. Would not be at all surprised to see them go 1-2 (in some order). Hocker looked very strong in the 1500m semi and I fully expect him to be quite sharp in the 5k.
So, overall, not sure why you are getting downvoted..your take seems logical to me
sorry, but that's the most stupid post in a while. First, that's in June as you said, second, Hocker later ran 13:26 with a 51 finish to win the USAs. In Tokyo, the winning time would be around that mark, especially considering the weather. Who could've survived a 51 last lap beside Laros? But unlike Hocker, Laros would have a 1500m final on his legs, and he also doesn't have as much endurance as Hocker who ran 7:23 3k this year.
So yeah, Hocker is now the overwhelming favourite in the 5k.
A 51 finish without a single other sub-60 lap is not how these global finals are won. They always have a sub-4 last mile and ~1:50 last 800. Last year Jakob went 56-53 for his two final laps. Hocker can’t drive like that.
We have seen from the prelims that the 1500 is a total crapshoot when you don’t have anyone like Yared or Jakob to push the pace, so the 1500 could go to many of the top guys (Lagos, Hocker, Kerr, R Cheruiyot, etc).
The 5K is a lot less random though, as shown by how consistently Jakob can win despite not being able to win the 1500. We now have a fresh and pissed off Hocker going into what we know will be a slow 5K in these conditions; he has a great chance of getting gold.
If he lets himself get boxed in again he’s not winning anything. And man, the EPOpians know how to box people in.
Hocker ran 13:09 and placed 7th back in June in the race where Almgren solo ran the current world lead of 12:44. He's shown absolutely nothing special that would make him a favorite in the 5000.
In June
Yup, and ran 13:26 a month later.
"The fastest 1500 runner will automatically win a tactical 5000 race" is not how the sport works.