Nuguse will run 3:26 tomorrow

He will lose.

Hope to be proven wrong, but no one is breaking 3:30 (let alone 3:27) in tomorrow's weather. Heavy rain forecasted.

Maybe 3rd place.

If he can run that fast, he probably would have won USATF.

What time is the race EST and is this to qualify for world champs?

Such a good example of the art of peaking at the right/wrong time.

I don't think he has it in him this year. Look at indoors where he couldn't break 3:46. He is a bit down this year relative to previous years.

Nobody cares about time or weather in this case for Nuguse. He needs to approach it like he did Pre only finished the damned attempt. Balls to the wall and make them bleed if they want the win. He has everything to gain and nothing to lose. Just win or go home.

Super rainy forecast. Looking good for Hoey as he just beat a stacked field in the rain. Nuguse may perform better than others in ideal conditions and not something like a rain storm.

Pretty sure rain has the same affect on everyone for a race on the track.

The race is being paced more for a 3:27-8 with a 1:51.0 pace target for Zan Rudolf. Even if Rak gets the first runner to 1,000 at around 2:19-low, you now need a 67-something last 500? Can't really see that in the rain, and with whoever's leading probably holding back slightly from 500-300 to get the win.

I would say that he'd be closer to 3:31 than he would be to 3:26.

BIIIIG deal even if he does. People like Kiprop and Jakob have been running 3:26 for years. It is a feather in their cap, but does it beat El G?

Only way to beat the G is run 3:25. Notice how rarely this is ever predicted of anybody.

I think if you interpreted that as 3:26.99 and 3:31.00, that would put the O/U at 3:29.00. If it's a light rain, I might take the under but it's a very fair number. Running 3:28 does require someone going for it, good conditions, and for Nuguse a pretty darn good race. More confidence in the latter than the former two variables, based on the last two slow DLs and how Nuguse has been racing well.

Maybe I'm naive but I suspect Dathan thought they could train through USA's a little bit.

I really do think a former indoor mile world record holder and 3:43 man can go 3:26. Especially if he's basically peaked for right now. I mean look what he did at prefontaine from the front. He's in better shape than that. That's a great sign. If laros wins here I'll jump on the hype train.

I hope so. After Nats he doesn’t deserve it.

If it is raining and they still send Rudolph out in 1.51.0 then the race will be exactly like Silesia. I personally hate that in a "final" of anything they have pacers and wavelight, but rain is a big equalizer with respect to that opinion. I think we could see a race as "slow" as 3.32/3 again tomorrow.

Dathan also thought they could start racing and be doing high intensity track workouts at the beginning of April and somehow be not gassed by the business end of the season...

That 3:46 was the fastest he or anyone else in the history of Earth had ever run the mile indoors at that point in time.